BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Yanal Ashmouz vs.
Sam Patterson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Yanal Ashmouz · UFC
5-2-0 Sam Patterson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
5-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
31
AgeΔ 1 yrs
30
5'9"
HeightΔ 6"
6'3"
69"
ReachΔ 9"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
14
Layoff (months)Δ 13.6 mo
0.4
LWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Sam Patterson carries real power — 1.27 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Yanal Ashmouz hunts takedowns — 3.24 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Sam Patterson is a submission threat — 0.85 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Yanal Ashmouz

Full career not yet synced for Yanal Ashmouz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Sam Patterson

Full career not yet synced for Sam Patterson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1332.88/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1353.81/min · norm 3.17
2214.78/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
992.80/min · norm 3.06
50.8%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
42.1%norm 44.9%
50.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
61.0%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
31.27/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Yanal Ashmouz

Distance 74.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 14.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.7% (norm 8.0%)

Sam Patterson

Distance 95.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Yanal Ashmouz

Head 75.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 7.9%)

Sam Patterson

Head 86.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ashmouz L/AAccLightweight med Patterson L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 77 / 195 39.5% 37.9% 125 / 305 41.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 33 / 39 84.6% 67.3% 2 / 4 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 23 / 28 82.1% 69.1% 8 / 12 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 86 / 198 43.4% 35.0% 111 / 277 40.1% 37.2%
To the body 24 / 36 66.7% 69.1% 15 / 29 51.7% 70.7%
To the legs 23 / 28 82.1% 81.9% 9 / 15 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ashmouz L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Patterson L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 183 / 388 47.2% 38.9% 86 / 238 36.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 25 / 36 69.4% 68.6% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 13 / 20 too few to rate 68.0% 13 / 16 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 138 / 341 40.5% 35.1% 65 / 197 33.0% 35.6%
To the body 59 / 70 84.3% 68.1% 10 / 20 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 24 / 33 72.7% 81.5% 24 / 37 64.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1038.5% acc · 3.24/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
250.0% acc · 0.85/15 · norm 1.27
1864.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
150.0% def · norm 63.9%
10:3122.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
4:3512.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
8:532:52 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
0:530:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.85/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Patterson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.