BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Warlley Alves vs.
Abus Magomedov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-8-0 Warlley Alves · UFC
5-3-0 Abus Magomedov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-8-0
UFC record
5-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
35.6
AgeΔ 0.3 yrs
35.9
5'11"
HeightΔ 3"
6'2"
72"
ReachΔ 6"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
26.6
Layoff (months)Δ 25.3 mo
1.3
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Warlley Alves is a submission threat — 0.85 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Abus Magomedov hunts takedowns — 2.50 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Abus Magomedov owns the mat — in control 26% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Warlley Alves

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 88
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Abus Magomedov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 3 — regional circuit 213

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.12 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4853.04/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2393.06/min · norm 3.25
6293.95/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2613.34/min · norm 3.20
48.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
48.7%norm 47.4%
50.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
56.4%norm 53.8%
30.28/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.38/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Warlley Alves

Distance 85.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.1%)

Abus Magomedov

Distance 92.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 1.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 6.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Warlley Alves

Head 70.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 13.6% (norm 8.4%)

Abus Magomedov

Head 70.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 22.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alves L/AAccWelterweight med Magomedov L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 379 / 861 44.0% 38.6% 207 / 452 45.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 71 / 97 73.2% 67.8% 8 / 8 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 35 / 51 68.6% 67.2% 24 / 31 77.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 268 / 715 37.5% 37.2% 135 / 346 39.0% 38.9%
To the body 111 / 157 70.7% 70.7% 74 / 109 67.9% 71.7%
To the legs 106 / 137 77.4% 82.9% 30 / 36 83.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alves L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Magomedov L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 466 / 1046 44.6% 39.0% 239 / 565 42.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 128 / 168 76.2% 68.9% 2 / 5 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 35 / 62 56.5% 68.0% 20 / 29 69.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 423 / 995 42.5% 35.6% 174 / 457 38.1% 37.9%
To the body 150 / 210 71.4% 69.6% 54 / 88 61.4% 71.3%
To the legs 56 / 71 78.9% 82.1% 33 / 54 61.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1350.0% acc · 1.22/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1359.1% acc · 2.50/15 · norm 1.42
1763.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
5100.0% def · norm 63.1%
35:0822.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
20:1025.8% of cage time · norm 19.75%
37:263:31 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
6:001:09 per 15 · norm 3:00
90.85/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.58/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alves has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.