BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tony Ferguson vs.
Yves Edwards

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-9-0 Tony Ferguson · UFC
10-10-0 (1 NC) Yves Edwards · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-9-0
UFC record
10-10-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
42.5
AgeΔ 7.3 yrs
49.8
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
76"
ReachΔ 3"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
24.1
Layoff (months)Δ 116.3 mo
140.4
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Last 5 (newest first)
LLNCLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Yves Edwards carries real power — 0.59 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Tony Ferguson is a submission threat — 0.88 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Tony Ferguson rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tony Ferguson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 159
Tier 3 — regional circuit 102

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.17 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Yves Edwards

Full career not yet synced for Yves Edwards — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

13324.91/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
5612.75/min · norm 3.42
11864.37/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4842.37/min · norm 3.37
45.9%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
42.8%norm 43.5%
55.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
67.8%norm 56.3%
30.17/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
80.59/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tony Ferguson

Distance 94.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 8.0%)

Yves Edwards

Distance 78.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tony Ferguson

Head 75.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 7.9%)

Yves Edwards

Head 74.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ferguson L/AAccLightweight med Edwards L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1210 / 2738 44.2% 37.9% 379 / 1029 36.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 31 / 49 63.3% 67.3% 94 / 136 69.1% 67.3%
On the ground 91 / 118 77.1% 69.1% 88 / 147 59.9% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 800 / 2182 36.7% 35.0% 303 / 977 31.0% 35.0%
To the body 259 / 393 65.9% 69.1% 124 / 183 67.8% 69.1%
To the legs 273 / 330 82.7% 81.9% 134 / 152 88.2% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ferguson L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Edwards L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1028 / 2394 42.9% 38.9% 326 / 1254 26.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 15 / 48 31.2% 68.6% 88 / 142 62.0% 68.6%
On the ground 143 / 216 66.2% 68.0% 70 / 109 64.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 790 / 2103 37.6% 35.1% 265 / 1175 22.6% 35.1%
To the body 225 / 356 63.2% 68.1% 125 / 202 61.9% 68.1%
To the legs 171 / 199 85.9% 81.5% 94 / 128 73.4% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

735.0% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
640.0% acc · 0.44/15 · norm 1.38
3966.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
6971.9% def · norm 64.0%
8:002.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
39:4419.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
63:463:31 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
49:083:36 per 15 · norm 2:46
160.88/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
100.73/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ferguson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.