Tom Aspinall vs.
Jake Collier
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Tom Aspinall
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 1 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 2 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 19 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.8 wins over .500
Jake Collier
Full career not yet synced for Jake Collier — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Tom Aspinall
Distance 66.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 24.7% (norm 9.3%)
Jake Collier
Distance 90.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 9.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Tom Aspinall
Head 77.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.7% (norm 7.6%)
Jake Collier
Head 81.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 7.6%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Aspinall L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med | Collier L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 108 / 171 | 63.2% | 40.1% | 738 / 1755 | 42.1% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 17 / 24 | too few to rate | 70.6% | 94 / 146 | 64.4% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 50 / 64 | 78.1% | 70.2% | 30 / 46 | 65.2% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 119 / 200 | 59.5% | 38.9% | 574 / 1583 | 36.3% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 23 / 26 | 88.5% | 76.8% | 169 / 226 | 74.8% | 76.8% |
| To the legs | 33 / 33 | 100.0% | 87.8% | 119 / 138 | 86.2% | 87.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Aspinall L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med | vs Collier L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 80 / 186 | 43.0% | 40.7% | 594 / 1312 | 45.3% | 40.7% |
| In the clinch | 3 / 6 | too few to rate | 70.6% | 72 / 106 | 67.9% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 0 / 1 | too few to rate | 72.0% | 88 / 114 | 77.2% | 72.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 34 / 139 | 24.5% | 38.8% | 545 / 1268 | 43.0% | 38.8% |
| To the body | 24 / 28 | 85.7% | 75.1% | 151 / 193 | 78.2% | 75.1% |
| To the legs | 25 / 26 | 96.2% | 84.4% | 58 / 71 | 81.7% | 84.4% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Collier has more cage time on record.