BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tim Elliott vs.
Muhammad Mokaev

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-12-0 Tim Elliott · UFC
7-0-0 Muhammad Mokaev · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-12-0
UFC record
7-0-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
39.6
AgeΔ 13.6 yrs
26
5'7"
HeightΔ 0"
5'7"
66"
ReachΔ 4"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
3.1
Layoff (months)Δ 21.2 mo
24.3
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Muhammad Mokaev hunts takedowns — 5.29 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Muhammad Mokaev owns the mat — in control 52% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Tim Elliott hunts takedowns — 3.61 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tim Elliott

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1012
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Muhammad Mokaev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 70
Tier 3 — regional circuit 100

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.79 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9483.51/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
1421.61/min · norm 3.49
8103.00/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
1191.35/min · norm 3.24
43.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
45.4%norm 44.6%
56.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
57.5%norm 56.4%
20.11/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.17/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tim Elliott

Distance 78.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 7.3%)

Muhammad Mokaev

Distance 83.4% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 14.1% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tim Elliott

Head 71.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 15.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 9.3%)

Muhammad Mokaev

Head 64.5% (norm 75.9%) · Body 22.0% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Elliott L/AAccFlyweight med Mokaev L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 627 / 1716 36.5% 40.0% 101 / 261 38.7% 40.0%
In the clinch 155 / 218 71.1% 70.4% 7 / 8 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 166 / 248 66.9% 69.7% 34 / 44 77.3% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 548 / 1559 35.2% 37.6% 76 / 202 37.6% 37.6%
To the body 185 / 342 54.1% 68.5% 45 / 69 65.2% 68.5%
To the legs 215 / 281 76.5% 80.0% 21 / 42 50.0% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Elliott L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Mokaev L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 673 / 1652 40.7% 40.1% 75 / 233 32.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 84 / 130 64.6% 68.8% 18 / 19 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 53 / 74 71.6% 71.1% 26 / 28 92.9% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 581 / 1553 37.4% 35.2% 76 / 207 36.7% 35.2%
To the body 152 / 210 72.4% 68.2% 28 / 38 73.7% 68.2%
To the legs 77 / 93 82.8% 80.3% 15 / 35 42.9% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6545.5% acc · 3.61/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
3141.3% acc · 5.29/15 · norm 1.30
3859.4% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
125.0% def · norm 62.5%
80:4529.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
45:3251.8% of cage time · norm 17.0%
58:323:15 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
10:171:45 per 15 · norm 2:44
191.06/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
50.85/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Elliott has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.