BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tim Elliott vs.
Jared Papazian

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-12-0 Tim Elliott · UFC
0-3-0 Jared Papazian · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-12-0
UFC record
0-3-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
39.6
AgeΔ 1.1 yrs
38.5
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
66"
ReachΔ 1"
67"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
3.1
Layoff (months)Δ 160.5 mo
163.6
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tim Elliott hunts takedowns — 3.61 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Jared Papazian rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Tim Elliott is a submission threat — 1.06 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tim Elliott

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1012
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Jared Papazian

Full career not yet synced for Jared Papazian — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9483.51/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
1113.33/min · norm 3.52
8103.00/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
1273.81/min · norm 3.58
43.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
39.5%norm 43.4%
56.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
44.8%norm 56.6%
20.11/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tim Elliott

Distance 78.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 7.3%)

Jared Papazian

Distance 88.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tim Elliott

Head 71.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 15.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 9.3%)

Jared Papazian

Head 83.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Elliott L/AAccFlyweight med Papazian L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 627 / 1716 36.5% 40.0% 91 / 248 36.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 155 / 218 71.1% 70.4% 18 / 29 62.1% 68.7%
On the ground 166 / 248 66.9% 69.7% 2 / 4 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 548 / 1559 35.2% 37.6% 77 / 234 32.9% 34.9%
To the body 185 / 342 54.1% 68.5% 22 / 33 66.7% 66.8%
To the legs 215 / 281 76.5% 80.0% 12 / 14 too few to rate 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Elliott L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Papazian L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 673 / 1652 40.7% 40.1% 91 / 188 48.4% 39.3%
In the clinch 84 / 130 64.6% 68.8% 30 / 35 85.7% 70.4%
On the ground 53 / 74 71.6% 71.1% 6 / 7 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 581 / 1553 37.4% 35.2% 65 / 156 41.7% 34.9%
To the body 152 / 210 72.4% 68.2% 38 / 46 82.6% 66.0%
To the legs 77 / 93 82.8% 80.3% 24 / 28 85.7% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6545.5% acc · 3.61/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.12
3859.4% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
950.0% def · norm 66.7%
80:4529.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
5:1315.6% of cage time · norm 17.4%
58:323:15 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
11:585:22 per 15 · norm 2:24
191.06/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Elliott has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.