BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tim Elliott vs.
Edgar Chairez

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-12-0 Tim Elliott · UFC
4-2-0 (1 NC) Edgar Chairez · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-12-0
UFC record
4-2-0 (1 NC)
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
39.6
AgeΔ 9.1 yrs
30.5
5'7"
HeightΔ 0"
5'7"
66"
ReachΔ 5"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
3.2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.2 mo
2
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Edgar Chairez carries real power — 0.78 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Edgar Chairez is a submission threat — 1.82 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Tim Elliott hunts takedowns — 3.61 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tim Elliott

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1012
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Edgar Chairez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 53
Tier 3 — regional circuit 93

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.91 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9483.51/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
2233.86/min · norm 3.49
8103.00/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
2644.57/min · norm 3.24
43.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
47.5%norm 44.6%
56.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
45.3%norm 56.4%
20.11/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
30.78/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tim Elliott

Distance 78.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 7.3%)

Edgar Chairez

Distance 97.0% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 0.9% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.1% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tim Elliott

Head 71.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 15.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 9.3%)

Edgar Chairez

Head 74.0% (norm 75.9%) · Body 12.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Elliott L/AAccFlyweight med Chairez L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 627 / 1716 36.5% 40.0% 213 / 455 46.8% 40.0%
In the clinch 155 / 218 71.1% 70.4% 4 / 4 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 166 / 248 66.9% 69.7% 6 / 10 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 548 / 1559 35.2% 37.6% 133 / 347 38.3% 37.6%
To the body 185 / 342 54.1% 68.5% 41 / 59 69.5% 68.5%
To the legs 215 / 281 76.5% 80.0% 49 / 63 77.8% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Elliott L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Chairez L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 673 / 1652 40.7% 40.1% 215 / 418 51.4% 40.1%
In the clinch 84 / 130 64.6% 68.8% 6 / 7 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 53 / 74 71.6% 71.1% 43 / 58 74.1% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 581 / 1553 37.4% 35.2% 178 / 365 48.8% 35.2%
To the body 152 / 210 72.4% 68.2% 37 / 61 60.7% 68.2%
To the legs 77 / 93 82.8% 80.3% 49 / 57 86.0% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6545.5% acc · 3.61/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.30
3859.4% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
746.7% def · norm 62.5%
80:4529.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
1:463.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
58:323:15 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
20:095:13 per 15 · norm 2:44
191.06/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
71.82/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Elliott has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.