BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Thomas Petersen vs.
Guilherme Pat

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Thomas Petersen · UFC
1-1-0 Guilherme Pat · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
1-1-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
31.4
Age
6'1"
Height
74"
Reach
Southpaw
Stance
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 3.7 mo
4.1
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thomas Petersen hunts takedowns — 2.59 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Thomas Petersen owns the mat — in control 39% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Guilherme Pat rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Thomas Petersen

Full career not yet synced for Thomas Petersen — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Guilherme Pat

Full career not yet synced for Guilherme Pat — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2252.99/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
812.70/min · norm 3.36
1942.58/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
612.03/min · norm 3.19
58.3%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
61.8%norm 47.8%
55.7%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
52.0%norm 52.5%
10.20/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thomas Petersen

Distance 78.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 16.1% (norm 9.3%)

Guilherme Pat

Distance 90.8% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.2% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thomas Petersen

Head 76.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 18.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 7.6%)

Guilherme Pat

Head 84.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Petersen L/AAccHeavyweight med Pat L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 168 / 301 55.8% 40.1% 70 / 119 58.8% 40.1%
In the clinch 16 / 23 too few to rate 70.6% 11 / 12 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 41 / 62 66.1% 70.2% 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 145 / 295 49.2% 38.9% 62 / 110 56.4% 38.9%
To the body 61 / 72 84.7% 76.8% 11 / 12 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 19 / 19 too few to rate 87.8% 8 / 9 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Petersen L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Pat L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 163 / 392 41.6% 40.7% 29 / 89 32.6% 40.7%
In the clinch 22 / 33 66.7% 70.6% 18 / 22 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 9 / 13 too few to rate 72.0% 14 / 16 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 131 / 348 37.6% 38.8% 39 / 98 39.8% 38.8%
To the body 50 / 75 66.7% 75.1% 14 / 16 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 13 / 15 too few to rate 84.4% 8 / 13 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1337.1% acc · 2.59/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
685.7% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
5100.0% def · norm 64.3%
29:0438.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
0:442.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
3:170:39 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
16:318:15 per 15 · norm 2:28
10.20/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Petersen has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.