Thomas Petersen

Picked against, with the analyst framing this as a bad stylistic matchup because his striking isn't good enough to keep the fight away from the opponent's grappling.

A decent striker whose best tool is dirty boxing at close range; beyond that the analyst is generous calling the rest decent, since he tends to tuck his chin and simply charge forward. Good grappler with a good body-lock takedown and good ground strikes, and was nearly finished in his last fight before getting a decision instead.

Picked to win on the reasoning that he simply does more across the fight.

Mixed UFC run so far. His hands are fine -- passable jab-and-cross work, backed by solid dirty boxing on the inside. Risky habit of dropping his chin and wading forward behind strikes purely to bridge the gap into a clinch, since he's usually overmatched on the feet at heavyweight -- invites getting clipped and dropped, but beats standing back and eating a striking mismatch. Once he actually clinches up, the grappling picture improves -- effective body-lock takedown, solid ground-and-pound.