BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tatsuro Taira vs.
Jesus Aguilar

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-2-0 Tatsuro Taira · UFC
4-3-0 Jesus Aguilar · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-2-0
UFC record
4-3-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
26.5
AgeΔ 3.9 yrs
30.4
5'7"
HeightΔ 3"
5'4"
70"
ReachΔ 8"
62"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 2.1 mo
5
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tatsuro Taira owns the mat — in control 54% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Tatsuro Taira hunts takedowns — 3.57 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Jesus Aguilar is a submission threat — 1.11 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tatsuro Taira

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 82
Tier 3 — regional circuit 100

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.71 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Jesus Aguilar

Full career not yet synced for Jesus Aguilar — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3372.87/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
1772.63/min · norm 3.49
3653.10/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
1672.48/min · norm 3.24
54.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
37.3%norm 44.6%
44.0%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
60.7%norm 56.4%
30.38/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.22/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tatsuro Taira

Distance 66.0% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 29.8% (norm 7.3%)

Jesus Aguilar

Distance 92.0% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tatsuro Taira

Head 85.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 6.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 8.7% (norm 9.3%)

Jesus Aguilar

Head 70.0% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 13.7% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Taira L/AAccFlyweight med Aguilar L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 183 / 409 44.7% 40.0% 155 / 436 35.6% 40.0%
In the clinch 14 / 26 53.8% 70.4% 17 / 27 63.0% 70.4%
On the ground 140 / 185 75.7% 69.7% 5 / 11 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 263 / 528 49.8% 37.6% 87 / 332 26.2% 37.6%
To the body 26 / 38 68.4% 68.5% 42 / 77 54.5% 68.5%
To the legs 48 / 54 88.9% 80.0% 48 / 65 73.8% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Taira L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Aguilar L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 291 / 563 51.7% 40.1% 134 / 371 36.1% 40.1%
In the clinch 33 / 39 84.6% 68.8% 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 41 / 50 82.0% 71.1% 25 / 43 58.1% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 299 / 557 53.7% 35.2% 114 / 343 33.2% 35.2%
To the body 46 / 62 74.2% 68.2% 34 / 58 58.6% 68.2%
To the legs 20 / 33 60.6% 80.3% 19 / 24 too few to rate 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2843.8% acc · 3.57/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
526.3% acc · 1.11/15 · norm 1.30
646.2% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1846.2% def · norm 62.5%
63:2153.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
9:2814.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
9:581:16 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
26:566:00 per 15 · norm 2:44
101.28/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
51.11/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Taira has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.