BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Spencer Fisher vs.
Curt Warburton

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-8-0 Spencer Fisher · UFC
1-2-0 Curt Warburton · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-8-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
50.2
Age
5'7"
HeightΔ 5"
6'0"
68"
ReachΔ 5"
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
169.4
Layoff (months)Δ 11.9 mo
181.3
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Curt Warburton owns the mat — in control 50% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Curt Warburton is a submission threat — 0.94 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Spencer Fisher is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Spencer Fisher

Full career not yet synced for Spencer Fisher — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Curt Warburton

Full career not yet synced for Curt Warburton — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6373.17/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
682.13/min · norm 3.42
6093.03/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1103.44/min · norm 3.37
43.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
42.2%norm 43.5%
64.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
43.0%norm 56.3%
30.22/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Spencer Fisher

Distance 76.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 16.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.9% (norm 8.0%)

Curt Warburton

Distance 73.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 13.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Spencer Fisher

Head 71.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 7.9%)

Curt Warburton

Head 66.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 19.3% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Fisher L/AAccLightweight med Warburton L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 404 / 1122 36.0% 37.9% 43 / 118 36.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 172 / 241 71.4% 67.3% 18 / 22 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 61 / 101 60.4% 69.1% 7 / 21 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 305 / 1049 29.1% 35.0% 25 / 107 23.4% 35.0%
To the body 203 / 262 77.5% 69.1% 21 / 23 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 129 / 153 84.3% 81.9% 22 / 31 71.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Fisher L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Warburton L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 377 / 1301 29.0% 38.9% 55 / 127 43.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 111 / 151 73.5% 68.6% 39 / 43 90.7% 68.6%
On the ground 121 / 246 49.2% 68.0% 16 / 23 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 343 / 1324 25.9% 35.1% 44 / 117 37.6% 35.1%
To the body 146 / 228 64.0% 68.1% 40 / 46 87.0% 68.1%
To the legs 120 / 146 82.2% 81.5% 26 / 30 86.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

930.0% acc · 0.67/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
550.0% acc · 2.35/15 · norm 1.38
5860.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
583.3% def · norm 64.0%
25:1312.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
16:0050.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
74:105:32 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
2:331:11 per 15 · norm 2:46
100.75/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.94/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Fisher has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.