BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sarah Alpar vs.
Erin Blanchfield

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Sarah Alpar · UFC
8-1-0 Erin Blanchfield · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
8-1-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
35
AgeΔ 8 yrs
27
5'4"
HeightΔ 0"
5'4"
63"
ReachΔ 3"
66"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
58.6
Layoff (months)Δ 49.9 mo
8.7
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Erin Blanchfield is a submission threat — 0.86 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Erin Blanchfield owns the mat — in control 38% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Flyweight norm.
Sarah Alpar's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 59% Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sarah Alpar

Full career not yet synced for Sarah Alpar — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Erin Blanchfield

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 81
Tier 3 — regional circuit 61

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.65 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

531.81/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
6435.24/min · norm 3.91
1966.68/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
5214.25/min · norm 3.81
37.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
44.4%norm 44.9%
38.0%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
58.8%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sarah Alpar

Distance 97.9% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 4.9%)

Erin Blanchfield

Distance 86.1% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 9.2% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sarah Alpar

Head 71.3% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.3% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 15.4% (norm 7.7%)

Erin Blanchfield

Head 84.3% (norm 78.1%) · Body 9.0% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alpar L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Blanchfield L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 52 / 140 37.1% 39.9% 496 / 1247 39.8% 39.9%
In the clinch 1 / 3 too few to rate 73.3% 43 / 68 63.2% 73.3%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 74.7% 104 / 133 78.2% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 25 / 102 24.5% 34.9% 454 / 1220 37.2% 34.9%
To the body 11 / 19 too few to rate 69.5% 102 / 130 78.5% 69.5%
To the legs 17 / 22 too few to rate 82.6% 87 / 98 88.8% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alpar L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Blanchfield L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 68 / 151 45.0% 38.8% 496 / 1208 41.1% 38.8%
In the clinch 35 / 39 89.7% 74.1% 25 / 56 44.6% 74.1%
On the ground 93 / 126 73.8% 73.4% 0 / 0 too few to rate 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 160 / 277 57.8% 35.3% 365 / 1058 34.5% 35.3%
To the body 24 / 27 88.9% 69.0% 76 / 120 63.3% 69.0%
To the legs 12 / 12 too few to rate 78.7% 80 / 86 93.0% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

216.7% acc · 1.02/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
1634.0% acc · 1.96/15 · norm 1.02
00.0% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1878.3% def · norm 58.95%
3:2811.8% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
47:0338.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
18:019:12 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
2:350:18 per 15 · norm 3:03
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
70.86/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Blanchfield has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.