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Said Nurmagomedov vs. Bryce Mitchell

UFC 7-4-0 vs. 10-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
7-4-0
UFC record
10-3-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
34
AgeΔ 2 yrs
32
5'8"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
14.8
Layoff (months)Δ 10.3 mo
4.5
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Said Nurmagomedov is a submission threat — 1.15 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Bryce Mitchell owns the mat — in control 55% of cage time, vs a 16% Featherweight norm.
Bryce Mitchell is a submission threat — 1.27 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Featherweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Said Nurmagomedov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.25 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Bryce Mitchell

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 103
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3213.08/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
3372.19/min · norm 3.52
2142.05/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2321.51/min · norm 3.50
48.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
59.0%norm 44.7%
55.6%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.9%norm 54.8%
20.29/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.10/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Said Nurmagomedov

Distance 84.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 6.4%)

Bryce Mitchell

Distance 67.3% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 25.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Said Nurmagomedov

Head 71.7% (norm 77.5%) · Body 16.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.0% (norm 8.4%)

Bryce Mitchell

Head 64.4% (norm 77.5%) · Body 26.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.3% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nurmagomedov L/AAccBantamweight med Mitchell L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 244 / 556 43.9% 39.2% 188 / 384 49.0% 40.5%
In the clinch 46 / 63 73.0% 69.0% 30 / 40 75.0% 70.5%
On the ground 31 / 42 73.8% 70.2% 119 / 147 81.0% 69.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 173 / 474 36.5% 35.3% 192 / 368 52.2% 37.1%
To the body 79 / 108 73.1% 66.9% 100 / 150 66.7% 68.0%
To the legs 69 / 79 87.3% 79.2% 45 / 53 84.9% 80.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 121 fighters · Featherweight: 127 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nurmagomedov L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Mitchell L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 155 / 388 39.9% 39.4% 167 / 471 35.5% 39.3%
In the clinch 32 / 44 72.7% 70.6% 12 / 22 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 27 / 50 54.0% 72.1% 53 / 72 73.6% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 89 / 294 30.3% 34.9% 145 / 434 33.4% 35.9%
To the body 52 / 91 57.1% 66.1% 57 / 95 60.0% 68.0%
To the legs 73 / 97 75.3% 78.8% 30 / 36 83.3% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
615.4% acc · 0.86/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
3236.4% acc · 3.12/15 · norm 1.17
2463.2% def · norm 65.7%
Takedowns stopped
538.5% def · norm 61.5%
11:4711.3% of cage time · norm 17.8%
Control time
84:3755.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
38:035:28 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control lower is better
23:302:17 per 15 · norm 3:11
81.15/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
131.27/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mitchell has more cage time on record.