BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Roxanne Modafferi vs.
Nicco Montano

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-8-0 Roxanne Modafferi · UFC
1-1-0 Nicco Montano · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-8-0
UFC record
1-1-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
43.9
AgeΔ 6.3 yrs
37.6
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'5"
69"
ReachΔ 4"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
53.7
Layoff (months)Δ 31.1 mo
84.8
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nicco Montano hunts takedowns — 2.25 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.91 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Nicco Montano outworks the Women's Bantamweight division — 5.60 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.56 norm.
Roxanne Modafferi absorbs 5.72 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.81 Women's Flyweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Roxanne Modafferi

Full career not yet synced for Roxanne Modafferi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Nicco Montano

Full career not yet synced for Nicco Montano — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6223.39/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
2245.60/min · norm 3.56
10495.72/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
1774.42/min · norm 3.51
30.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
41.9%norm 46.65%
52.3%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
64.1%norm 52.45%
10.08/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Roxanne Modafferi

Distance 93.4% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 3.9% (norm 4.9%)

Nicco Montano

Distance 89.5% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Roxanne Modafferi

Head 92.2% (norm 78.1%) · Body 5.5% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 7.7%)

Nicco Montano

Head 83.6% (norm 75.2%) · Body 6.2% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 10.3% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Modafferi L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Montano L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 532 / 1920 27.7% 39.9% 187 / 479 39.0% 38.3%
In the clinch 35 / 54 64.8% 73.3% 16 / 29 55.2% 73.3%
On the ground 55 / 81 67.9% 74.7% 21 / 27 77.8% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 523 / 1894 27.6% 34.9% 151 / 447 33.8% 37.7%
To the body 62 / 114 54.4% 69.5% 23 / 33 69.7% 70.0%
To the legs 37 / 47 78.7% 82.6% 50 / 55 90.9% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Modafferi L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Montano L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 906 / 1995 45.4% 38.8% 144 / 455 31.6% 41.3%
In the clinch 72 / 94 76.6% 74.1% 15 / 19 too few to rate 74.7%
On the ground 71 / 109 65.1% 73.4% 18 / 19 too few to rate 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 799 / 1888 42.3% 35.3% 144 / 446 32.3% 38.1%
To the body 126 / 181 69.6% 69.0% 24 / 35 68.6% 73.2%
To the legs 124 / 129 96.1% 78.7% 9 / 12 too few to rate 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1627.6% acc · 1.31/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
654.5% acc · 2.25/15 · norm 0.91
930.0% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
969.2% def · norm 62.5%
49:3527.0% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
12:2230.9% of cage time · norm 26.55%
36:543:00 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
7:412:52 per 15 · norm 3:19
10.08/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
10.38/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Modafferi has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.