Rory MacDonald vs.
Nate Diaz
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Rory MacDonald
Full career not yet synced for Rory MacDonald — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500
Nate Diaz
Full career not yet synced for Nate Diaz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Rory MacDonald
Distance 83.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 8.1%)
Nate Diaz
Distance 83.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Rory MacDonald
Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)
Nate Diaz
Head 83.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | MacDonald L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Diaz L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 509 / 1317 | 38.6% | 38.6% | 1132 / 2883 | 39.3% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 55 / 95 | 57.9% | 67.8% | 342 / 477 | 71.7% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 103 / 158 | 65.2% | 67.2% | 70 / 104 | 67.3% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 499 / 1302 | 38.3% | 37.2% | 1146 / 2891 | 39.6% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 125 / 213 | 58.7% | 70.7% | 263 / 397 | 66.2% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 43 / 55 | 78.2% | 82.9% | 135 / 176 | 76.7% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs MacDonald L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Diaz L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 370 / 1123 | 32.9% | 39.0% | 874 / 2115 | 41.3% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 59 / 105 | 56.2% | 68.9% | 217 / 324 | 67.0% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 70 / 101 | 69.3% | 68.0% | 257 / 420 | 61.2% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 323 / 1073 | 30.1% | 35.6% | 772 / 2096 | 36.8% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 72 / 126 | 57.1% | 69.6% | 246 / 365 | 67.4% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 104 / 130 | 80.0% | 82.1% | 330 / 398 | 82.9% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Diaz has more cage time on record.