BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Roman Kopylov vs.
Cesar Almeida

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-5-0 Roman Kopylov · UFC
3-3-0 Cesar Almeida · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-5-0
UFC record
3-3-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
35
AgeΔ 3 yrs
38
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 2 mo
0.9
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Roman Kopylov carries real power — 0.92 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Cesar Almeida rarely shoots — 0.25 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Roman Kopylov absorbs 5.08 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Roman Kopylov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 75
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Cesar Almeida

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.18 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 10 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6684.54/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2133.48/min · norm 3.25
7475.08/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1422.32/min · norm 3.20
50.2%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
60.0%norm 47.4%
53.3%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
43.2%norm 53.8%
90.92/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.25/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Roman Kopylov

Distance 94.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 10.3%)

Cesar Almeida

Distance 81.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Roman Kopylov

Head 79.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.1% (norm 8.4%)

Cesar Almeida

Head 51.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 29.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 18.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kopylov L/AAccMiddleweight med Almeida L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 614 / 1258 48.8% 40.5% 164 / 290 56.6% 40.5%
In the clinch 26 / 35 74.3% 70.3% 30 / 32 93.8% 70.3%
On the ground 28 / 39 71.8% 69.1% 19 / 33 57.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 441 / 1062 41.5% 38.9% 84 / 182 46.2% 38.9%
To the body 128 / 162 79.0% 71.7% 76 / 106 71.7% 71.7%
To the legs 99 / 108 91.7% 83.3% 53 / 67 79.1% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kopylov L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Almeida L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 669 / 1486 45.0% 39.5% 118 / 219 53.9% 39.5%
In the clinch 36 / 47 76.6% 70.9% 6 / 9 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 42 / 67 62.7% 69.0% 18 / 22 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 442 / 1182 37.4% 37.9% 90 / 193 46.6% 37.9%
To the body 179 / 261 68.6% 71.3% 29 / 34 85.3% 71.3%
To the legs 126 / 157 80.3% 82.1% 23 / 23 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1150.0% acc · 1.12/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc · 0.25/15 · norm 1.42
4088.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1648.5% def · norm 63.1%
13:219.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
3:325.8% of cage time · norm 19.75%
13:241:21 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
30:537:34 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.25/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kopylov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.