BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Reuben Duran vs.
Takeya Mizugaki

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Reuben Duran · UFC
8-6-0 Takeya Mizugaki · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
8-6-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
43.1
AgeΔ 0.5 yrs
42.6
5'7"
HeightΔ 0"
5'7"
71"
ReachΔ 2"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
160.7
Layoff (months)Δ 45.1 mo
115.6
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Reuben Duran is a submission threat — 0.65 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Reuben Duran owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 17% Bantamweight norm.
Takeya Mizugaki owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 17% Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Reuben Duran

Full career not yet synced for Reuben Duran — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Takeya Mizugaki

Full career not yet synced for Takeya Mizugaki — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1473.19/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
6133.79/min · norm 3.52
1202.61/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
5173.20/min · norm 3.58
49.0%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
40.0%norm 43.4%
50.8%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.1%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
30.28/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Reuben Duran

Distance 73.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 17.7% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 9.0% (norm 6.5%)

Takeya Mizugaki

Distance 77.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Reuben Duran

Head 74.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Takeya Mizugaki

Head 85.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Duran L/AAccBantamweight med Mizugaki L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 84 / 220 38.2% 39.0% 421 / 1193 35.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 44 / 53 83.0% 68.7% 99 / 179 55.3% 68.7%
On the ground 19 / 27 70.4% 70.2% 93 / 159 58.5% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 76 / 223 34.1% 34.9% 443 / 1306 33.9% 34.9%
To the body 46 / 52 88.5% 66.8% 121 / 154 78.6% 66.8%
To the legs 25 / 25 100.0% 79.4% 49 / 71 69.0% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Duran L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Mizugaki L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 66 / 175 37.7% 39.3% 354 / 1020 34.7% 39.3%
In the clinch 27 / 35 77.1% 70.4% 128 / 167 76.6% 70.4%
On the ground 27 / 34 79.4% 72.4% 35 / 48 72.9% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 63 / 167 37.7% 34.9% 324 / 998 32.5% 34.9%
To the body 30 / 37 81.1% 66.0% 149 / 187 79.7% 66.0%
To the legs 27 / 40 67.5% 79.1% 44 / 50 88.0% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

323.1% acc · 0.98/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1650.0% acc · 1.49/15 · norm 1.12
225.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
4070.2% def · norm 66.7%
15:4934.4% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
42:5726.6% of cage time · norm 17.4%
10:163:20 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
34:543:14 per 15 · norm 2:24
20.65/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.09/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mizugaki has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.