Raphael Assuncao vs.
Matthew Lopez
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Raphael Assuncao
Full career not yet synced for Raphael Assuncao — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500
Matthew Lopez
Full career not yet synced for Matthew Lopez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Raphael Assuncao
Distance 88.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 6.5%)
Matthew Lopez
Distance 80.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 17.1% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Raphael Assuncao
Head 71.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 8.4%)
Matthew Lopez
Head 77.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Assuncao L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med | Lopez L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 639 / 1593 | 40.1% | 39.0% | 150 / 334 | 44.9% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 80 / 116 | 69.0% | 68.7% | 7 / 11 | too few to rate | 68.7% |
| On the ground | 67 / 90 | 74.4% | 70.2% | 55 / 71 | 77.5% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 418 / 1293 | 32.3% | 34.9% | 141 / 322 | 43.8% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 126 / 197 | 64.0% | 66.8% | 48 / 69 | 69.6% | 66.8% |
| To the legs | 242 / 309 | 78.3% | 79.4% | 23 / 25 | 92.0% | 79.4% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Assuncao L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med | vs Lopez L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 578 / 1761 | 32.8% | 39.3% | 201 / 497 | 40.4% | 39.3% |
| In the clinch | 29 / 52 | 55.8% | 70.4% | 18 / 24 | too few to rate | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 18 / 23 | too few to rate | 72.4% | 34 / 46 | 73.9% | 72.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 274 / 1322 | 20.7% | 34.9% | 152 / 432 | 35.2% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 158 / 252 | 62.7% | 66.0% | 38 / 61 | 62.3% | 66.0% |
| To the legs | 193 / 262 | 73.7% | 79.1% | 63 / 74 | 85.1% | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Assuncao has more cage time on record.