BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rafael Dos Anjos vs.
Vicente Luque

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

21-15-0 Rafael Dos Anjos · UFC
17-8-0 Vicente Luque · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

21-15-0
UFC record
17-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
41.8
AgeΔ 7.1 yrs
34.7
5'8"
HeightΔ 3"
5'11"
70"
ReachΔ 5"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
21.3
Layoff (months)Δ 17.5 mo
3.8
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Vicente Luque carries real power — 0.70 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Vicente Luque absorbs 5.24 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Rafael Dos Anjos hunts takedowns — 1.95 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rafael Dos Anjos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2115
Tier 3 — regional circuit 102

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 21 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 48 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-14 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Vicente Luque

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 178
Tier 3 — regional circuit 74

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.18 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

18223.48/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
11354.80/min · norm 3.17
16923.23/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
12415.24/min · norm 3.06
47.1%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
50.9%norm 44.9%
60.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.6%norm 55.25%
70.20/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
110.70/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rafael Dos Anjos

Distance 79.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.5% (norm 8.0%)

Vicente Luque

Distance 92.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rafael Dos Anjos

Head 74.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.1% (norm 7.9%)

Vicente Luque

Head 74.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 15.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Anjos L/AAccLightweight med Luque L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1224 / 3059 40.0% 37.9% 1003 / 2052 48.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 321 / 407 78.9% 67.3% 62 / 77 80.5% 67.8%
On the ground 277 / 405 68.4% 69.1% 70 / 101 69.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 1063 / 2890 36.8% 35.0% 687 / 1671 41.1% 37.2%
To the body 434 / 589 73.7% 69.1% 153 / 218 70.2% 70.7%
To the legs 325 / 392 82.9% 81.9% 295 / 341 86.5% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Anjos L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Luque L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1334 / 3750 35.6% 38.9% 998 / 2212 45.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 235 / 324 72.5% 68.6% 140 / 192 72.9% 68.9%
On the ground 123 / 181 68.0% 68.0% 103 / 160 64.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1102 / 3462 31.8% 35.1% 932 / 2170 42.9% 35.6%
To the body 352 / 530 66.4% 68.1% 177 / 244 72.5% 69.6%
To the legs 238 / 263 90.5% 81.5% 132 / 150 88.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6835.6% acc · 1.95/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1448.3% acc · 0.89/15 · norm 1.27
9154.8% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3759.7% def · norm 63.9%
136:4526.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
34:1114.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
125:273:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
45:562:54 per 15 · norm 3:15
200.57/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
110.70/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Anjos has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.