BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rachael Ostovich vs.
Karine Gevorgyan

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Rachael Ostovich · UFC
0-1-0 Karine Gevorgyan · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
0-1-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
35
AgeΔ 2 yrs
37
5'3"
HeightΔ 1"
5'4"
62"
ReachΔ 1"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
68.3
Layoff (months)Δ 35.9 mo
104.2
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
L
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rachael Ostovich is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Karine Gevorgyan's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 59% Women's Flyweight norm.
Karine Gevorgyan rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rachael Ostovich

Full career not yet synced for Rachael Ostovich — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Karine Gevorgyan

Full career not yet synced for Karine Gevorgyan — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

942.54/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
21.20/min · norm 3.91
1473.97/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
31.80/min · norm 3.81
43.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
20.0%norm 44.9%
57.8%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
76.9%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rachael Ostovich

Distance 93.1% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 5.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 4.9%)

Karine Gevorgyan

Distance 100.0% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rachael Ostovich

Head 74.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 21.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 7.7%)

Karine Gevorgyan

Head 100.0% (norm 78.1%) · Body 0.0% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ostovich L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Gevorgyan L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 81 / 203 39.9% 39.9% 2 / 10 too few to rate 39.9%
In the clinch 11 / 12 too few to rate 73.3% 0 / 0 too few to rate 73.3%
On the ground 2 / 3 too few to rate 74.7% 0 / 0 too few to rate 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 56 / 163 34.4% 34.9% 2 / 10 too few to rate 34.9%
To the body 33 / 47 70.2% 69.5% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.5%
To the legs 5 / 8 too few to rate 82.6% 0 / 0 too few to rate 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ostovich L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Gevorgyan L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 87 / 257 33.9% 38.8% 3 / 13 too few to rate 38.8%
In the clinch 15 / 27 55.6% 74.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 74.1%
On the ground 45 / 64 70.3% 73.4% 0 / 0 too few to rate 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 114 / 303 37.6% 35.3% 1 / 10 too few to rate 35.3%
To the body 18 / 29 62.1% 69.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.0%
To the legs 15 / 16 too few to rate 78.7% 2 / 3 too few to rate 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

583.3% acc · 2.03/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.02
1466.7% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 58.95%
1:404.5% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
0:2222.0% of cage time · norm 19.15%
16:026:29 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
0:365:24 per 15 · norm 3:03
20.81/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ostovich has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.