BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Pat Miletich vs.
Chris Brennan

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-2-0 Pat Miletich · UFC
1-2-0 Chris Brennan · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-2-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
58.4
AgeΔ 3.6 yrs
54.8
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
292.5
Layoff (months)Δ 2.3 mo
294.8
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Chris Brennan is a submission threat — 1.25 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Chris Brennan's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Pat Miletich owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Pat Miletich

Full career not yet synced for Pat Miletich — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Chris Brennan

Full career not yet synced for Chris Brennan — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1471.69/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
100.42/min · norm 3.42
1201.38/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
230.96/min · norm 3.37
44.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
30.3%norm 43.5%
64.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
51.1%norm 56.3%
10.17/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Pat Miletich

Distance 71.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 18.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 8.1%)

Chris Brennan

Distance 78.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 18.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Pat Miletich

Head 70.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.0% (norm 8.4%)

Chris Brennan

Head 66.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 21.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Miletich L/AAccWelterweight med Brennan L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 76 / 233 32.6% 38.6% 4 / 26 15.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 46 / 62 74.2% 67.8% 5 / 6 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 25 / 33 75.8% 67.2% 1 / 1 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 73 / 232 31.5% 37.2% 3 / 22 too few to rate 35.0%
To the body 39 / 50 78.0% 70.7% 5 / 7 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 35 / 46 76.1% 82.9% 2 / 4 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Miletich L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Brennan L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 43 / 200 21.5% 39.0% 8 / 14 too few to rate 38.9%
In the clinch 47 / 63 74.6% 68.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 30 / 74 40.5% 68.0% 15 / 33 45.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 45 / 246 18.3% 35.6% 20 / 42 47.6% 35.1%
To the body 42 / 49 85.7% 69.6% 1 / 2 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 33 / 42 78.6% 82.1% 2 / 3 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1055.6% acc · 1.72/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc · 0.62/15 · norm 1.38
1354.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 64.0%
15:4635.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
0:091.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
7:261:16 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
13:038:08 per 15 · norm 2:46
50.86/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
21.25/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Miletich has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.