BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nikolay Veretennikov vs.
Francisco Prado

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-4-0 Nikolay Veretennikov · UFC
1-5-0 Francisco Prado · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-4-0
UFC record
1-5-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
36.6
AgeΔ 12.5 yrs
24.1
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
74"
ReachΔ 5"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.7
Layoff (months)Δ 1.1 mo
3.8
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Francisco Prado is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Nikolay Veretennikov rarely shoots — 0.50 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Opponents land 54% of their head shots on Nikolay Veretennikov, vs a 36% Welterweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nikolay Veretennikov

Full career not yet synced for Nikolay Veretennikov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Francisco Prado

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Prado — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1522.56/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2913.68/min · norm 3.17
2023.40/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
3414.31/min · norm 3.06
53.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
43.6%norm 44.9%
44.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
54.2%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.19/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nikolay Veretennikov

Distance 81.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.9% (norm 8.1%)

Francisco Prado

Distance 88.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nikolay Veretennikov

Head 67.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 27.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 8.4%)

Francisco Prado

Head 68.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Veretennikov L/AAccWelterweight med Prado L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 110 / 231 47.6% 38.6% 231 / 588 39.3% 38.6%
In the clinch 34 / 38 89.5% 67.8% 20 / 24 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 8 / 14 too few to rate 67.2% 40 / 55 72.7% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 77 / 192 40.1% 37.2% 146 / 455 32.1% 37.2%
To the body 61 / 77 79.2% 70.7% 65 / 114 57.0% 70.7%
To the legs 14 / 14 too few to rate 82.9% 80 / 98 81.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Veretennikov L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Prado L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 113 / 246 45.9% 39.0% 282 / 665 42.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 8 / 12 too few to rate 68.9% 33 / 42 78.6% 68.9%
On the ground 81 / 103 78.6% 68.0% 26 / 38 68.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 150 / 276 54.3% 35.6% 216 / 588 36.7% 35.6%
To the body 22 / 38 57.9% 69.6% 90 / 119 75.6% 69.6%
To the legs 30 / 47 63.8% 82.1% 35 / 38 92.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

222.2% acc · 0.50/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
419.0% acc · 0.76/15 · norm 1.27
1866.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
640.0% def · norm 63.9%
3:486.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
12:1915.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
28:557:17 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
17:123:15 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.50/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.76/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Veretennikov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.