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Nate Diaz vs. Marcus Davis

UFC 16-11-0 vs. 9-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
16-11-0
UFC record
9-6-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
41
AgeΔ 12 yrs
53
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
76"
ReachΔ 6"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
49.3
Layoff (months)Δ 140.3 mo
189.6
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Marcus Davis is a submission threat — 1.37 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Nate Diaz is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Marcus Davis carries real power — 0.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Nate Diaz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 53

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Marcus Davis

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 3 — regional circuit 154

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.77 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15444.58/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
3562.72/min · norm 3.17
13484.00/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3662.79/min · norm 3.08
44.6%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
39.7%norm 44.75%
52.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
65.7%norm 55.25%
40.18/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
60.69/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nate Diaz

Distance 83.2% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

Marcus Davis

Distance 81.8% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nate Diaz

Head 83.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 8.0%)

Marcus Davis

Head 81.2% (norm 78.3%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Diaz L/AAccLightweight med Davis L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1132 / 2883 39.3% 38.3% 242 / 733 33.0% 38.5%
In the clinch 342 / 477 71.7% 67.5% 67 / 94 71.3% 67.8%
On the ground 70 / 104 67.3% 68.8% 47 / 69 68.1% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1146 / 2891 39.6% 35.1% 232 / 728 31.9% 36.4%
To the body 263 / 397 66.2% 69.1% 65 / 98 66.3% 70.7%
To the legs 135 / 176 76.7% 81.8% 59 / 70 84.3% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Diaz L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Davis L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 874 / 2115 41.3% 38.8% 233 / 808 28.8% 39.1%
In the clinch 217 / 324 67.0% 68.6% 77 / 136 56.6% 68.9%
On the ground 257 / 420 61.2% 68.0% 56 / 123 45.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 772 / 2096 36.8% 35.2% 205 / 856 23.9% 35.6%
To the body 246 / 365 67.4% 68.2% 73 / 107 68.2% 69.6%
To the legs 330 / 398 82.9% 81.5% 88 / 104 84.6% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1826.5% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1448.3% acc · 1.60/15 · norm 1.31
4343.9% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
1147.8% def · norm 63.9%
47:1814.0% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
29:4722.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
97:414:20 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
27:553:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
261.16/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
121.37/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Diaz has more cage time on record.