BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nate Diaz vs.
Josh Thomson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-11-0 Nate Diaz · UFC
3-4-0 Josh Thomson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-11-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41.3
AgeΔ 6.6 yrs
47.9
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
76"
ReachΔ 5"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
46.8
Layoff (months)Δ 85.9 mo
132.7
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nate Diaz is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Nate Diaz rarely shoots — 0.80 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Josh Thomson carries real power — 0.35 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nate Diaz

Full career not yet synced for Nate Diaz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Josh Thomson

Full career not yet synced for Josh Thomson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15444.58/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1972.29/min · norm 3.42
13484.00/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2472.87/min · norm 3.37
44.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
43.1%norm 43.5%
52.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.7%norm 56.3%
40.18/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.35/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nate Diaz

Distance 83.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

Josh Thomson

Distance 73.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nate Diaz

Head 83.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 7.9%)

Josh Thomson

Head 68.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Diaz L/AAccLightweight med Thomson L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1132 / 2883 39.3% 37.9% 128 / 335 38.2% 37.9%
In the clinch 342 / 477 71.7% 67.3% 37 / 63 58.7% 67.3%
On the ground 70 / 104 67.3% 69.1% 32 / 59 54.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 1146 / 2891 39.6% 35.0% 98 / 313 31.3% 35.0%
To the body 263 / 397 66.2% 69.1% 41 / 66 62.1% 69.1%
To the legs 135 / 176 76.7% 81.9% 58 / 78 74.4% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Diaz L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Thomson L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 874 / 2115 41.3% 38.9% 168 / 416 40.4% 38.9%
In the clinch 217 / 324 67.0% 68.6% 36 / 50 72.0% 68.6%
On the ground 257 / 420 61.2% 68.0% 43 / 56 76.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 772 / 2096 36.8% 35.1% 131 / 339 38.6% 35.1%
To the body 246 / 365 67.4% 68.1% 65 / 113 57.5% 68.1%
To the legs 330 / 398 82.9% 81.5% 51 / 70 72.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1826.5% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1136.7% acc · 1.92/15 · norm 1.38
4343.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
541.7% def · norm 64.0%
47:1814.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
20:1323.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
97:414:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
14:342:32 per 15 · norm 2:46
261.16/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Diaz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.