BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nate Diaz vs.
Jorge Masvidal

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-11-0 Nate Diaz · UFC
12-10-0 Jorge Masvidal · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-11-0
UFC record
12-10-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
41.3
AgeΔ 0.4 yrs
41.7
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
76"
ReachΔ 2"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
46.8
Layoff (months)Δ 6.9 mo
39.9
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nate Diaz is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Nate Diaz rarely shoots — 0.80 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Jorge Masvidal rarely shoots — 0.87 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nate Diaz

Full career not yet synced for Nate Diaz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Jorge Masvidal

Full career not yet synced for Jorge Masvidal — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15444.58/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
11703.98/min · norm 3.17
13484.00/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
9013.07/min · norm 3.06
44.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
49.5%norm 44.9%
52.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
57.5%norm 55.25%
40.18/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
90.46/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nate Diaz

Distance 83.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

Jorge Masvidal

Distance 77.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 11.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nate Diaz

Head 83.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 7.9%)

Jorge Masvidal

Head 73.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Diaz L/AAccLightweight med Masvidal L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1132 / 2883 39.3% 37.9% 808 / 1832 44.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 342 / 477 71.7% 67.3% 202 / 265 76.2% 67.8%
On the ground 70 / 104 67.3% 69.1% 160 / 268 59.7% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 1146 / 2891 39.6% 35.0% 695 / 1734 40.1% 37.2%
To the body 263 / 397 66.2% 69.1% 281 / 369 76.2% 70.7%
To the legs 135 / 176 76.7% 81.9% 194 / 262 74.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Diaz L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Masvidal L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 874 / 2115 41.3% 38.9% 698 / 1813 38.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 217 / 324 67.0% 68.6% 114 / 163 69.9% 68.9%
On the ground 257 / 420 61.2% 68.0% 89 / 143 62.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 772 / 2096 36.8% 35.1% 545 / 1603 34.0% 35.6%
To the body 246 / 365 67.4% 68.1% 216 / 341 63.3% 69.6%
To the legs 330 / 398 82.9% 81.5% 140 / 175 80.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1826.5% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1753.1% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 1.27
4343.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
8569.7% def · norm 63.9%
47:1814.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
43:1614.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
97:414:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
75:303:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
261.16/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
70.36/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Diaz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.