BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Naoki Inoue vs.
Matt Schnell

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-1-0 Naoki Inoue · UFC
7-9-0 (1 NC) Matt Schnell · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-1-0
UFC record
7-9-0 (1 NC)
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
29
AgeΔ 7 yrs
36
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
97.4
Layoff (months)Δ 95.4 mo
2
LW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Naoki Inoue is a submission threat — 2.50 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Matt Schnell is a submission threat — 1.18 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Naoki Inoue rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Naoki Inoue

Full career not yet synced for Naoki Inoue — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Matt Schnell

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 79
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1103.67/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
5144.05/min · norm 3.49
1013.37/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
5304.18/min · norm 3.24
35.3%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
40.3%norm 44.6%
60.7%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
54.5%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.12/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Naoki Inoue

Distance 84.9% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 10.6% (norm 7.3%)

Matt Schnell

Distance 90.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Naoki Inoue

Head 85.6% (norm 75.9%) · Body 2.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.2% (norm 9.3%)

Matt Schnell

Head 84.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 8.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Inoue L/AAccFlyweight med Schnell L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 77 / 265 29.1% 40.0% 426 / 1152 37.0% 40.0%
In the clinch 13 / 14 too few to rate 70.4% 43 / 64 67.2% 70.4%
On the ground 20 / 33 60.6% 69.7% 45 / 60 75.0% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 82 / 267 30.7% 37.6% 370 / 1074 34.5% 37.6%
To the body 4 / 7 too few to rate 68.5% 66 / 104 63.5% 68.5%
To the legs 24 / 38 63.2% 80.0% 78 / 98 79.6% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Inoue L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Schnell L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 89 / 236 37.7% 40.1% 398 / 1007 39.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 10 / 16 too few to rate 68.8% 48 / 65 73.8% 68.8%
On the ground 2 / 5 too few to rate 71.1% 84 / 93 90.3% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 62 / 194 32.0% 35.2% 379 / 962 39.4% 35.2%
To the body 6 / 15 too few to rate 68.2% 67 / 92 72.8% 68.2%
To the legs 33 / 48 68.8% 80.3% 84 / 111 75.7% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
545.5% acc · 0.59/15 · norm 1.30
360.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1043.5% def · norm 62.5%
9:1530.8% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
8:326.7% of cage time · norm 17.0%
1:170:38 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
22:202:38 per 15 · norm 2:44
52.50/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
101.18/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Schnell has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.