BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Montana De La Rosa vs.
Rachael Ostovich

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-5-1 Montana De La Rosa · UFC
1-3-0 Rachael Ostovich · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-5-1
UFC record
1-3-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
31.5
AgeΔ 3.9 yrs
35.4
5'7"
HeightΔ 4"
5'3"
68"
ReachΔ 6"
62"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
25.9
Layoff (months)Δ 42.3 mo
68.2
WLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Montana De La Rosa is a submission threat — 0.82 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Rachael Ostovich is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Rachael Ostovich hunts takedowns — 2.03 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Montana De La Rosa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 66
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 02
Tier 3 — regional circuit 72

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.59 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Rachael Ostovich

Full career not yet synced for Rachael Ostovich — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4242.90/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
942.54/min · norm 3.91
4963.39/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
1473.97/min · norm 3.81
37.2%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
43.1%norm 44.9%
45.3%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
57.8%norm 55.95%
10.10/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Montana De La Rosa

Distance 83.5% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 8.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 7.6% (norm 4.9%)

Rachael Ostovich

Distance 93.1% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 5.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Montana De La Rosa

Head 85.2% (norm 78.1%) · Body 10.2% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 7.7%)

Rachael Ostovich

Head 74.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 21.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rosa L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Ostovich L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 300 / 952 31.5% 39.9% 81 / 203 39.9% 39.9%
In the clinch 53 / 101 52.5% 73.3% 11 / 12 too few to rate 73.3%
On the ground 71 / 87 81.6% 74.7% 2 / 3 too few to rate 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 302 / 971 31.1% 34.9% 56 / 163 34.4% 34.9%
To the body 78 / 116 67.2% 69.5% 33 / 47 70.2% 69.5%
To the legs 44 / 53 83.0% 82.6% 5 / 8 too few to rate 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rosa L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Ostovich L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 338 / 707 47.8% 38.8% 87 / 257 33.9% 38.8%
In the clinch 128 / 156 82.1% 74.1% 15 / 27 55.6% 74.1%
On the ground 30 / 43 69.8% 73.4% 45 / 64 70.3% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 296 / 668 44.3% 35.3% 114 / 303 37.6% 35.3%
To the body 148 / 177 83.6% 69.0% 18 / 29 62.1% 69.0%
To the legs 52 / 61 85.2% 78.7% 15 / 16 too few to rate 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1833.3% acc · 1.85/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
583.3% acc · 2.03/15 · norm 1.02
1368.4% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1466.7% def · norm 58.95%
48:4933.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
1:404.5% of cage time · norm 19.15%
22:212:17 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
16:026:29 per 15 · norm 3:03
80.82/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
20.81/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rosa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.