BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mohammed Usman vs.
Jake Collier

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-2-0 Mohammed Usman · UFC
5-9-0 Jake Collier · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-2-0
UFC record
5-9-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
37.3
AgeΔ 0.5 yrs
37.8
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
79"
ReachΔ 1"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
13.5
Layoff (months)Δ 20.9 mo
34.4
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jake Collier is a submission threat — 0.61 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Jake Collier outworks the Heavyweight division — 5.80 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.36 norm.
Mohammed Usman rarely shoots — 0.56 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mohammed Usman

Full career not yet synced for Mohammed Usman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Jake Collier

Full career not yet synced for Jake Collier — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3103.85/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
8625.80/min · norm 3.36
3444.27/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
7545.08/min · norm 3.19
39.2%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
44.3%norm 47.8%
51.2%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
50.8%norm 52.5%
10.19/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
30.30/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mohammed Usman

Distance 97.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 1.4% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 1.3% (norm 9.3%)

Jake Collier

Distance 90.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mohammed Usman

Head 77.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 22.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 0.5% (norm 7.6%)

Jake Collier

Head 81.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Usman L/AAccHeavyweight med Collier L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 298 / 770 38.7% 40.1% 738 / 1755 42.1% 40.1%
In the clinch 6 / 11 too few to rate 70.6% 94 / 146 64.4% 70.6%
On the ground 6 / 10 too few to rate 70.2% 30 / 46 65.2% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 189 / 611 30.9% 38.9% 574 / 1583 36.3% 38.9%
To the body 119 / 176 67.6% 76.8% 169 / 226 74.8% 76.8%
To the legs 2 / 4 too few to rate 87.8% 119 / 138 86.2% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Usman L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Collier L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 321 / 671 47.8% 40.7% 594 / 1312 45.3% 40.7%
In the clinch 22 / 33 66.7% 70.6% 72 / 106 67.9% 70.6%
On the ground 1 / 1 too few to rate 72.0% 88 / 114 77.2% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 213 / 552 38.6% 38.8% 545 / 1268 43.0% 38.8%
To the body 63 / 74 85.1% 75.1% 151 / 193 78.2% 75.1%
To the legs 68 / 79 86.1% 84.4% 58 / 71 81.7% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

314.3% acc · 0.56/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
733.3% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 0.95
466.7% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
2367.6% def · norm 64.3%
15:1218.9% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
22:4115.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
1:560:21 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
21:242:09 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
60.61/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Collier has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.