BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mitch Gagnon vs.
Cole Smith

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Mitch Gagnon · UFC
1-2-0 Cole Smith · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
41
AgeΔ 4 yrs
37
5'5"
HeightΔ 6"
5'11"
65"
ReachΔ 2"
67"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
87.1
Layoff (months)Δ 16.1 mo
71
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mitch Gagnon is a submission threat — 1.93 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Cole Smith is a submission threat — 1.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Cole Smith owns the mat — in control 44% of cage time, vs a 17% Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mitch Gagnon

Full career not yet synced for Mitch Gagnon — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Cole Smith

Full career not yet synced for Cole Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2152.76/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
801.78/min · norm 3.52
1722.21/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
881.96/min · norm 3.58
46.4%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
35.4%norm 43.4%
61.9%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
49.7%norm 56.6%
30.58/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mitch Gagnon

Distance 70.6% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 16.6% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.7% (norm 6.5%)

Cole Smith

Distance 85.0% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 11.9% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 3.1% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mitch Gagnon

Head 77.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 8.4%)

Cole Smith

Head 55.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 29.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 15.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gagnon L/AAccBantamweight med Smith L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 126 / 327 38.5% 39.0% 56 / 192 29.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 50 / 77 64.9% 68.7% 17 / 27 63.0% 68.7%
On the ground 39 / 59 66.1% 70.2% 7 / 7 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 138 / 358 38.5% 34.9% 33 / 126 26.2% 34.9%
To the body 52 / 74 70.3% 66.8% 24 / 66 36.4% 66.8%
To the legs 25 / 31 80.6% 79.4% 23 / 34 67.6% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gagnon L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Smith L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 105 / 348 30.2% 39.3% 53 / 128 41.4% 39.3%
In the clinch 51 / 71 71.8% 70.4% 16 / 25 64.0% 70.4%
On the ground 16 / 33 48.5% 72.4% 19 / 22 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 86 / 327 26.3% 34.9% 69 / 147 46.9% 34.9%
To the body 48 / 74 64.9% 66.0% 9 / 16 too few to rate 66.0%
To the legs 38 / 51 74.5% 79.1% 10 / 12 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

625.0% acc · 1.16/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
533.3% acc · 1.67/15 · norm 1.12
2365.7% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
545.5% def · norm 66.7%
17:0021.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
19:4944.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
32:006:09 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
13:004:20 per 15 · norm 2:24
101.93/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
51.67/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gagnon has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.