BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Miguel Baeza vs.
Punahele Soriano

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Miguel Baeza · UFC
7-4-0 Punahele Soriano · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
7-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
34
AgeΔ 0.3 yrs
33.7
6'2"
HeightΔ 3"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
25.9
Layoff (months)Δ 20.4 mo
5.5
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Miguel Baeza is a submission threat — 1.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Punahele Soriano carries real power — 0.84 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Miguel Baeza absorbs 5.91 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Miguel Baeza

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Punahele Soriano

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 94
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.53 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2784.09/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
4904.60/min · norm 3.25
4025.91/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
3663.44/min · norm 3.20
47.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
56.0%norm 47.4%
49.3%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
47.5%norm 53.8%
30.66/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
60.84/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Miguel Baeza

Distance 94.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 8.1%)

Punahele Soriano

Distance 61.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 32.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Miguel Baeza

Head 65.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 18.6% (norm 8.4%)

Punahele Soriano

Head 85.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 1.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Baeza L/AAccWelterweight med Soriano L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 254 / 550 46.2% 38.6% 220 / 539 40.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 6 / 8 too few to rate 67.8% 42 / 53 79.2% 70.3%
On the ground 18 / 24 too few to rate 67.2% 228 / 283 80.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 117 / 382 30.6% 37.2% 388 / 748 51.9% 38.9%
To the body 63 / 92 68.5% 70.7% 91 / 112 81.2% 71.7%
To the legs 98 / 108 90.7% 82.9% 11 / 15 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Baeza L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Soriano L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 229 / 581 39.4% 39.0% 312 / 627 49.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 24 / 32 75.0% 68.9% 46 / 62 74.2% 70.9%
On the ground 149 / 180 82.8% 68.0% 8 / 8 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 306 / 668 45.8% 35.6% 190 / 490 38.8% 37.9%
To the body 48 / 64 75.0% 69.6% 126 / 153 82.4% 71.3%
To the legs 48 / 61 78.7% 82.1% 50 / 54 92.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

228.6% acc · 0.44/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1348.1% acc · 1.83/15 · norm 1.42
444.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2048.8% def · norm 63.1%
2:534.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
32:3730.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
12:092:40 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
18:322:36 per 15 · norm 3:00
91.99/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.14/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Soriano has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.