Michel Pereira vs.
Tristan Connelly
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Michel Pereira
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 6 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 22 | 9 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 49 documented bouts
In the UFC: 7-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500
Tristan Connelly
Full career not yet synced for Tristan Connelly — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Michel Pereira
Distance 88.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 10.3%)
Tristan Connelly
Distance 68.5% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 18.2% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 13.4% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Michel Pereira
Head 61.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 31.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 8.4%)
Tristan Connelly
Head 83.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Pereira L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Connelly L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 629 / 1294 | 48.6% | 40.5% | 79 / 200 | 39.5% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 83 / 99 | 83.8% | 70.3% | 39 / 53 | 73.6% | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 40 / 70 | 57.1% | 69.1% | 31 / 39 | 79.5% | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 352 / 905 | 38.9% | 38.9% | 109 / 243 | 44.9% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 319 / 457 | 69.8% | 71.7% | 22 / 31 | 71.0% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 81 / 101 | 80.2% | 83.3% | 18 / 18 | too few to rate | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Pereira L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Connelly L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 557 / 1273 | 43.8% | 39.5% | 72 / 200 | 36.0% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 62 / 90 | 68.9% | 70.9% | 42 / 49 | 85.7% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 140 / 177 | 79.1% | 69.0% | 19 / 22 | too few to rate | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 471 / 1154 | 40.8% | 37.9% | 97 / 221 | 43.9% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 155 / 225 | 68.9% | 71.3% | 33 / 46 | 71.7% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 133 / 161 | 82.6% | 82.1% | 3 / 4 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pereira has more cage time on record.