BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michel Pereira vs.
Danny Roberts

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-6-0 Michel Pereira · UFC
7-7-0 Danny Roberts · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-6-0
UFC record
7-7-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
32.8
AgeΔ 6.3 yrs
39.1
6'1"
HeightΔ 0"
6'1"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
1.3
Layoff (months)Δ 35.2 mo
36.5
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Danny Roberts rarely shoots — 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Michel Pereira absorbs 4.32 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Michel Pereira outworks the Middleweight division — 4.28 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michel Pereira

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 106
Tier 3 — regional circuit 229

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 49 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Danny Roberts

Full career not yet synced for Danny Roberts — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7524.28/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
4053.18/min · norm 3.17
7594.32/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
4743.72/min · norm 3.06
51.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
39.6%norm 44.9%
50.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
51.0%norm 55.25%
40.34/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.35/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michel Pereira

Distance 88.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 10.3%)

Danny Roberts

Distance 80.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michel Pereira

Head 61.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 31.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 8.4%)

Danny Roberts

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pereira L/AAccMiddleweight med Roberts L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 629 / 1294 48.6% 40.5% 262 / 823 31.8% 38.6%
In the clinch 83 / 99 83.8% 70.3% 82 / 118 69.5% 67.8%
On the ground 40 / 70 57.1% 69.1% 61 / 83 73.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 352 / 905 38.9% 38.9% 233 / 800 29.1% 37.2%
To the body 319 / 457 69.8% 71.7% 106 / 146 72.6% 70.7%
To the legs 81 / 101 80.2% 83.3% 66 / 78 84.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pereira L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Roberts L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 557 / 1273 43.8% 39.5% 315 / 731 43.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 62 / 90 68.9% 70.9% 105 / 159 66.0% 68.9%
On the ground 140 / 177 79.1% 69.0% 54 / 77 70.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 471 / 1154 40.8% 37.9% 336 / 774 43.4% 35.6%
To the body 155 / 225 68.9% 71.3% 92 / 137 67.2% 69.6%
To the legs 133 / 161 82.6% 82.1% 46 / 56 82.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1352.0% acc · 1.11/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
29.5% acc · 0.24/15 · norm 1.27
4175.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2357.5% def · norm 63.9%
15:428.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
19:1015.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
28:232:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
34:184:02 per 15 · norm 3:15
70.60/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
20.24/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pereira has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.