BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michael Page vs.
Sam Patterson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-1-0 Michael Page · UFC
5-2-0 Sam Patterson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-1-0
UFC record
5-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39.3
AgeΔ 9 yrs
30.3
6'3"
HeightΔ 0"
6'3"
79"
ReachΔ 1"
78"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
4.5
Layoff (months)Δ 4.1 mo
0.4
WWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Sam Patterson carries real power — 1.27 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Michael Page rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Sam Patterson is a submission threat — 0.85 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michael Page

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 213
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.09 · 21 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.4 wins over .500

Sam Patterson

Full career not yet synced for Sam Patterson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1612.15/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1353.81/min · norm 3.17
1181.57/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
992.80/min · norm 3.06
56.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.1%norm 44.9%
61.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
61.0%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
31.27/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michael Page

Distance 94.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 8.1%)

Sam Patterson

Distance 95.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michael Page

Head 74.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.9% (norm 8.4%)

Sam Patterson

Head 86.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Page L/AAccWelterweight med Patterson L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 149 / 269 55.4% 38.6% 125 / 305 41.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 9 / 12 too few to rate 67.8% 2 / 4 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 3 / 4 too few to rate 67.2% 8 / 12 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 102 / 211 48.3% 37.2% 111 / 277 40.1% 37.2%
To the body 35 / 43 81.4% 70.7% 15 / 29 51.7% 70.7%
To the legs 24 / 31 77.4% 82.9% 9 / 15 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Page L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Patterson L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 82 / 259 31.7% 39.0% 86 / 238 36.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 18 / 25 72.0% 68.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 18 / 24 too few to rate 68.0% 13 / 16 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 45 / 200 22.5% 35.6% 65 / 197 33.0% 35.6%
To the body 32 / 45 71.1% 69.6% 10 / 20 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 41 / 63 65.1% 82.1% 24 / 37 64.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
250.0% acc · 0.85/15 · norm 1.27
1368.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
150.0% def · norm 63.9%
4:356.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
4:3512.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
23:324:42 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
0:530:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
20.85/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Patterson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.