BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Matthew Semelsberger vs.
Uros Medic

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-6-0 Matthew Semelsberger · UFC
8-3-0 Uros Medic · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-6-0
UFC record
8-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
33
AgeΔ 0 yrs
33
6'1"
HeightΔ 0"
6'1"
75"
ReachΔ 4"
71"
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
20.9
Layoff (months)Δ 20.7 mo
0.2
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Uros Medic carries real power — 3.20 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Matthew Semelsberger carries real power — 1.26 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Uros Medic rarely shoots — 0.36 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Matthew Semelsberger

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 3 — regional circuit 62

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.55 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Uros Medic

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 93
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.76 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4493.77/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2245.31/min · norm 3.17
5044.24/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1493.53/min · norm 3.06
43.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
58.2%norm 44.9%
54.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.8%norm 55.25%
101.26/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
93.20/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matthew Semelsberger

Distance 85.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 8.1%)

Uros Medic

Distance 70.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 19.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matthew Semelsberger

Head 78.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 8.4%)

Uros Medic

Head 75.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Semelsberger L/AAccWelterweight med Medic L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 359 / 897 40.0% 38.6% 143 / 273 52.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 36 / 51 70.6% 67.8% 28 / 39 71.8% 67.8%
On the ground 54 / 97 55.7% 67.2% 53 / 73 72.6% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 290 / 822 35.3% 37.2% 153 / 292 52.4% 37.2%
To the body 76 / 125 60.8% 70.7% 48 / 69 69.6% 70.7%
To the legs 83 / 98 84.7% 82.9% 23 / 24 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Semelsberger L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Medic L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 418 / 970 43.1% 39.0% 114 / 280 40.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 40 / 55 72.7% 68.9% 10 / 15 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 46 / 74 62.2% 68.0% 25 / 42 59.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 353 / 908 38.9% 35.6% 88 / 251 35.1% 35.6%
To the body 81 / 115 70.4% 69.6% 31 / 50 62.0% 69.6%
To the legs 70 / 76 92.1% 82.1% 30 / 36 83.3% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

857.1% acc · 1.01/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
150.0% acc · 0.36/15 · norm 1.27
1645.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1055.6% def · norm 63.9%
20:3017.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
1:363.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
27:413:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
12:384:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
30.38/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Semelsberger has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.