Matthew Lopez vs. Raphael Assuncao

UFC 2-4-0 vs. 12-7-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-4-0
UFC record
12-7-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
39
AgeΔ 5 yrs
44
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'5"
69"
ReachΔ 3"
66"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
92
Layoff (months)Δ 51.1 mo
40.9
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Matthew Lopez is a submission threat — 1.33 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Matthew Lopez hunts takedowns — 3.32 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Raphael Assuncao hunts takedowns — 1.59 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Matthew Lopez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 24
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 50
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.1 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Raphael Assuncao

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 127
Tier 3 — regional circuit 163

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.98 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2123.13/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
7863.46/min · norm 3.52
2533.73/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
6252.76/min · norm 3.58
51.0%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
43.7%norm 43.4%
55.4%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
66.0%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
20.13/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matthew Lopez

Distance 80.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 17.1% (norm 6.5%)

Raphael Assuncao

Distance 88.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matthew Lopez

Head 77.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 8.4%)

Raphael Assuncao

Head 71.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lopez L/AAccBantamweight med Assuncao L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 150 / 334 44.9% 39.0% 639 / 1593 40.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 7 / 11 too few to rate 68.7% 80 / 116 69.0% 68.7%
On the ground 55 / 71 77.5% 70.2% 67 / 90 74.4% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 141 / 322 43.8% 34.9% 418 / 1293 32.3% 34.9%
To the body 48 / 69 69.6% 66.8% 126 / 197 64.0% 66.8%
To the legs 23 / 25 92.0% 79.4% 242 / 309 78.3% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lopez L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Assuncao L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 201 / 497 40.4% 39.3% 578 / 1761 32.8% 39.3%
In the clinch 18 / 24 too few to rate 70.4% 29 / 52 55.8% 70.4%
On the ground 34 / 46 73.9% 72.4% 18 / 23 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 152 / 432 35.2% 34.9% 274 / 1322 20.7% 34.9%
To the body 38 / 61 62.3% 66.0% 158 / 252 62.7% 66.0%
To the legs 63 / 74 85.1% 79.1% 193 / 262 73.7% 79.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1560.0% acc · 3.32/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
2438.7% acc · 1.59/15 · norm 1.12
1071.4% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3078.9% def · norm 66.7%
17:1025.3% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
29:2913.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
10:252:18 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
15:161:00 per 15 · norm 2:24
61.33/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
20.13/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Assuncao has more cage time on record.