Matthew Lopez vs. Mitch Gagnon

UFC 2-4-0 vs. 4-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-4-0
UFC record
4-4-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
39
AgeΔ 2 yrs
41
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'5"
69"
ReachΔ 4"
65"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
92
Layoff (months)Δ 4.9 mo
87.1
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mitch Gagnon is a submission threat — 1.93 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Matthew Lopez is a submission threat — 1.33 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Matthew Lopez hunts takedowns — 3.32 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Matthew Lopez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 24
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 50
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.1 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Mitch Gagnon

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2123.13/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
2152.76/min · norm 3.52
2533.73/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
1722.21/min · norm 3.58
51.0%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
46.4%norm 43.4%
55.4%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
61.9%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
30.58/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matthew Lopez

Distance 80.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 17.1% (norm 6.5%)

Mitch Gagnon

Distance 70.6% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 16.6% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matthew Lopez

Head 77.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 8.4%)

Mitch Gagnon

Head 77.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lopez L/AAccBantamweight med Gagnon L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 150 / 334 44.9% 39.0% 126 / 327 38.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 7 / 11 too few to rate 68.7% 50 / 77 64.9% 68.7%
On the ground 55 / 71 77.5% 70.2% 39 / 59 66.1% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 141 / 322 43.8% 34.9% 138 / 358 38.5% 34.9%
To the body 48 / 69 69.6% 66.8% 52 / 74 70.3% 66.8%
To the legs 23 / 25 92.0% 79.4% 25 / 31 80.6% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lopez L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Gagnon L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 201 / 497 40.4% 39.3% 105 / 348 30.2% 39.3%
In the clinch 18 / 24 too few to rate 70.4% 51 / 71 71.8% 70.4%
On the ground 34 / 46 73.9% 72.4% 16 / 33 48.5% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 152 / 432 35.2% 34.9% 86 / 327 26.3% 34.9%
To the body 38 / 61 62.3% 66.0% 48 / 74 64.9% 66.0%
To the legs 63 / 74 85.1% 79.1% 38 / 51 74.5% 79.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1560.0% acc · 3.32/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
625.0% acc · 1.16/15 · norm 1.12
1071.4% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2365.7% def · norm 66.7%
17:1025.3% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
17:0021.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
10:252:18 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
32:006:09 per 15 · norm 2:24
61.33/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
101.93/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gagnon has more cage time on record.