BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Matt Schnell vs.
Marco Beltran

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-9-0 (1 NC) Matt Schnell · UFC
3-3-0 Marco Beltran · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-9-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
3-3-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
36.6
AgeΔ 3.6 yrs
40.2
5'8"
HeightΔ 0"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
Layoff (months)Δ 103.9 mo
105.9
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Matt Schnell is a submission threat — 1.18 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Matt Schnell rarely shoots — 0.59 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Marco Beltran is hard to hit — absorbs 1.93 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.58 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Matt Schnell

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 79
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Marco Beltran

Full career not yet synced for Marco Beltran — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5144.05/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
1342.07/min · norm 3.52
5304.18/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
1251.93/min · norm 3.58
40.3%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
37.5%norm 43.4%
54.5%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
63.3%norm 56.6%
10.12/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.23/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Schnell

Distance 90.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 7.3%)

Marco Beltran

Distance 75.6% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 13.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Schnell

Head 84.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 8.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 9.3%)

Marco Beltran

Head 76.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Schnell L/AAccFlyweight med Beltran L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 426 / 1152 37.0% 40.0% 79 / 270 29.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 43 / 64 67.2% 70.4% 29 / 39 74.4% 68.7%
On the ground 45 / 60 75.0% 69.7% 26 / 48 54.2% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 370 / 1074 34.5% 37.6% 76 / 273 27.8% 34.9%
To the body 66 / 104 63.5% 68.5% 29 / 46 63.0% 66.8%
To the legs 78 / 98 79.6% 80.0% 29 / 38 76.3% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Schnell L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Beltran L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 398 / 1007 39.5% 40.1% 76 / 265 28.7% 39.3%
In the clinch 48 / 65 73.8% 68.8% 18 / 25 72.0% 70.4%
On the ground 84 / 93 90.3% 71.1% 31 / 51 60.8% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 379 / 962 39.4% 35.2% 75 / 262 28.6% 34.9%
To the body 67 / 92 72.8% 68.2% 26 / 45 57.8% 66.0%
To the legs 84 / 111 75.7% 80.3% 24 / 34 70.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

545.5% acc · 0.59/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
350.0% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 1.12
1043.5% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
646.2% def · norm 66.7%
8:326.7% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
8:1812.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
22:202:38 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
18:454:20 per 15 · norm 2:24
101.18/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
10.23/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Schnell has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.