Skip to content

Matt Sayles vs. Kyle Nelson

UFC 1-3-0 vs. 5-7-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-3-0
UFC record
5-7-1
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
32
AgeΔ 3 yrs
35
5'7"
HeightΔ 4"
5'11"
68"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
58
Layoff (months)Δ 57.9 mo
0.1
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Matt Sayles is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Featherweight norm.
Matt Sayles rarely shoots — 0.38 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.17 Featherweight norm.
Kyle Nelson absorbs 4.64 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.50 Featherweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Matt Sayles

Full career not yet synced for Matt Sayles — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Kyle Nelson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1674.21/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
4183.63/min · norm 3.52
1142.87/min · norm 3.50
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
5354.64/min · norm 3.50
39.8%norm 44.7%
Striking accuracy
46.0%norm 44.7%
61.0%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
53.8%norm 54.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.13/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Sayles

Distance 86.0% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 6.5%)

Kyle Nelson

Distance 88.3% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Sayles

Head 75.0% (norm 77.5%) · Body 14.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 7.9%)

Kyle Nelson

Head 74.0% (norm 77.5%) · Body 16.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Sayles L/AAccFeatherweight med Nelson L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 128 / 361 35.5% 40.5% 351 / 803 43.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 13 / 20 too few to rate 70.5% 54 / 86 62.8% 70.5%
On the ground 26 / 39 66.7% 69.3% 13 / 20 too few to rate 69.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 88 / 315 27.9% 37.1% 235 / 673 34.9% 37.1%
To the body 46 / 61 75.4% 68.0% 109 / 151 72.2% 68.0%
To the legs 33 / 44 75.0% 80.3% 74 / 85 87.1% 80.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 127 fighters · Featherweight: 127 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Sayles L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Nelson L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 96 / 266 36.1% 39.3% 387 / 930 41.6% 39.3%
In the clinch 12 / 19 too few to rate 70.3% 43 / 60 71.7% 70.3%
On the ground 6 / 7 too few to rate 69.4% 105 / 168 62.5% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 58 / 213 27.2% 35.9% 308 / 881 35.0% 35.9%
To the body 50 / 71 70.4% 68.0% 126 / 158 79.7% 68.0%
To the legs 6 / 8 too few to rate 81.5% 101 / 119 84.9% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
125.0% acc · 0.38/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
923.1% acc · 1.17/15 · norm 1.17
1781.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1266.7% def · norm 61.5%
5:0913.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
23:3120.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
10:374:00 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
26:213:25 per 15 · norm 3:11
20.76/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.52/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nelson has more cage time on record.