Matt Lucas vs.
Aaron Rosa
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Matt Lucas
Full career not yet synced for Matt Lucas — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500
Aaron Rosa
Full career not yet synced for Aaron Rosa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Matt Lucas
Distance 87.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 10.4%)
Aaron Rosa
Distance 78.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 21.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 10.4%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Matt Lucas
Head 100.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 0.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 9.7%)
Aaron Rosa
Head 80.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 9.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Lucas L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med | Rosa L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 14 / 34 | 41.2% | 41.4% | 80 / 227 | 35.2% | 41.4% |
| In the clinch | 4 / 4 | too few to rate | 70.9% | 52 / 63 | 82.5% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 72.3% | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 72.3% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 19 / 39 | 48.7% | 38.9% | 81 / 233 | 34.8% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 71.9% | 42 / 47 | 89.4% | 71.9% |
| To the legs | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 81.8% | 9 / 10 | too few to rate | 81.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Lucas L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med | vs Rosa L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 18 / 55 | 32.7% | 40.4% | 84 / 206 | 40.8% | 40.4% |
| In the clinch | 41 / 44 | 93.2% | 68.7% | 30 / 38 | 78.9% | 68.7% |
| On the ground | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 70.4% | 15 / 16 | too few to rate | 70.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 25 / 63 | 39.7% | 37.5% | 92 / 216 | 42.6% | 37.5% |
| To the body | 29 / 31 | 93.5% | 72.3% | 16 / 19 | too few to rate | 72.3% |
| To the legs | 5 / 5 | too few to rate | 83.0% | 21 / 25 | 84.0% | 83.0% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rosa has more cage time on record.