Mario Bautista vs.
Umar Nurmagomedov
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Mario Bautista
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 12 | 3 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 2 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 4 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.75 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 21 documented bouts
In the UFC: 8-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500
Umar Nurmagomedov
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 10 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.75 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 21 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.8 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Mario Bautista
Distance 87.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 6.5%)
Umar Nurmagomedov
Distance 75.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 20.0% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Mario Bautista
Head 75.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 8.4%)
Umar Nurmagomedov
Head 76.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Bautista L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med | Nurmagomedov L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 695 / 1503 | 46.2% | 39.0% | 329 / 654 | 50.3% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 111 / 136 | 81.6% | 68.7% | 29 / 39 | 74.4% | 68.7% |
| On the ground | 58 / 78 | 74.4% | 70.2% | 131 / 173 | 75.7% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 531 / 1302 | 40.8% | 34.9% | 334 / 662 | 50.5% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 225 / 286 | 78.7% | 66.8% | 99 / 140 | 70.7% | 66.8% |
| To the legs | 108 / 129 | 83.7% | 79.4% | 56 / 64 | 87.5% | 79.4% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Bautista L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med | vs Nurmagomedov L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 536 / 1280 | 41.9% | 39.3% | 206 / 557 | 37.0% | 39.3% |
| In the clinch | 93 / 111 | 83.8% | 70.4% | 28 / 47 | 59.6% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 23 / 31 | 74.2% | 72.4% | 2 / 4 | too few to rate | 72.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 439 / 1151 | 38.1% | 34.9% | 117 / 438 | 26.7% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 102 / 149 | 68.5% | 66.0% | 74 / 111 | 66.7% | 66.0% |
| To the legs | 111 / 122 | 91.0% | 79.1% | 45 / 59 | 76.3% | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bautista has more cage time on record.