BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mario Bautista vs.
Jose Aldo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-3-0 Mario Bautista · UFC
14-9-0 Jose Aldo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-3-0
UFC record
14-9-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
33
AgeΔ 6 yrs
39
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
69"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 14 mo
14.9
WWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mario Bautista is a submission threat — 1.05 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Mario Bautista hunts takedowns — 2.49 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Jose Aldo rarely shoots — 0.51 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mario Bautista

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 123
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.75 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Jose Aldo

Full career not yet synced for Jose Aldo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 14-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8645.52/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
13543.57/min · norm 3.54
6524.17/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
16004.21/min · norm 3.47
50.3%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
45.3%norm 45.0%
54.1%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.4%norm 54.85%
30.29/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
70.28/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mario Bautista

Distance 87.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 6.5%)

Jose Aldo

Distance 93.6% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 2.3% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mario Bautista

Head 75.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 8.4%)

Jose Aldo

Head 79.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.9% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bautista L/AAccBantamweight med Aldo L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 695 / 1503 46.2% 39.0% 1220 / 2802 43.5% 40.9%
In the clinch 111 / 136 81.6% 68.7% 56 / 69 81.2% 70.8%
On the ground 58 / 78 74.4% 70.2% 78 / 121 64.5% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 531 / 1302 40.8% 34.9% 913 / 2389 38.2% 37.2%
To the body 225 / 286 78.7% 66.8% 280 / 416 67.3% 68.2%
To the legs 108 / 129 83.7% 79.4% 161 / 187 86.1% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bautista L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Aldo L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 536 / 1280 41.9% 39.3% 1242 / 3376 36.8% 39.2%
In the clinch 93 / 111 83.8% 70.4% 153 / 189 81.0% 70.3%
On the ground 23 / 31 74.2% 72.4% 205 / 277 74.0% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 439 / 1151 38.1% 34.9% 991 / 2993 33.1% 35.9%
To the body 102 / 149 68.5% 66.0% 289 / 433 66.7% 67.9%
To the legs 111 / 122 91.0% 79.1% 320 / 416 76.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2638.8% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1350.0% acc · 0.51/15 · norm 1.19
3257.1% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
9891.6% def · norm 61.5%
35:5723.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
44:0611.6% of cage time · norm 16.7%
25:212:25 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
52:302:04 per 15 · norm 3:12
111.05/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
40.16/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Aldo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.