BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Marcus Davis vs.
Nate Diaz

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-6-0 Marcus Davis · UFC
16-11-0 Nate Diaz · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-6-0
UFC record
16-11-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
53
AgeΔ 11.7 yrs
41.3
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
70"
ReachΔ 6"
76"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
187.1
Layoff (months)Δ 140.3 mo
46.8
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marcus Davis is a submission threat — 1.37 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Nate Diaz is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Marcus Davis carries real power — 0.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Marcus Davis

Full career not yet synced for Marcus Davis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Nate Diaz

Full career not yet synced for Nate Diaz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3562.72/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
15444.58/min · norm 3.42
3662.79/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
13484.00/min · norm 3.37
39.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 43.5%
65.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.9%norm 56.3%
60.69/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
40.18/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marcus Davis

Distance 81.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 8.1%)

Nate Diaz

Distance 83.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marcus Davis

Head 81.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 8.4%)

Nate Diaz

Head 83.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Davis L/AAccWelterweight med Diaz L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 242 / 733 33.0% 38.6% 1132 / 2883 39.3% 37.9%
In the clinch 67 / 94 71.3% 67.8% 342 / 477 71.7% 67.3%
On the ground 47 / 69 68.1% 67.2% 70 / 104 67.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 232 / 728 31.9% 37.2% 1146 / 2891 39.6% 35.0%
To the body 65 / 98 66.3% 70.7% 263 / 397 66.2% 69.1%
To the legs 59 / 70 84.3% 82.9% 135 / 176 76.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Davis L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Diaz L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 233 / 808 28.8% 39.0% 874 / 2115 41.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 77 / 136 56.6% 68.9% 217 / 324 67.0% 68.6%
On the ground 56 / 123 45.5% 68.0% 257 / 420 61.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 205 / 856 23.9% 35.6% 772 / 2096 36.8% 35.1%
To the body 73 / 107 68.2% 69.6% 246 / 365 67.4% 68.1%
To the legs 88 / 104 84.6% 82.1% 330 / 398 82.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1448.3% acc · 1.60/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1826.5% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.38
1147.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4343.9% def · norm 64.0%
29:4722.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
47:1814.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
27:553:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
97:414:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
121.37/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
261.16/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Diaz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.