BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Marcin Tybura vs.
Tai Tuivasa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-11-0 Marcin Tybura · UFC
8-10-0 Tai Tuivasa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-11-0
UFC record
8-10-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
40.7
AgeΔ 7.3 yrs
33.4
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
78"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
0.2
Layoff (months)Δ 3 mo
3.2
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tai Tuivasa carries real power — 0.82 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Tai Tuivasa rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Marcin Tybura owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Marcin Tybura

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1411
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Tai Tuivasa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 810
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9753.49/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
4913.37/min · norm 3.36
9323.34/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
6714.61/min · norm 3.19
46.8%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
48.6%norm 47.8%
54.7%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
42.9%norm 52.5%
10.05/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
80.82/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marcin Tybura

Distance 80.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 9.3%)

Tai Tuivasa

Distance 80.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 16.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marcin Tybura

Head 77.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 15.5% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 7.6%)

Tai Tuivasa

Head 73.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.4% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 15.5% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tybura L/AAccHeavyweight med Tuivasa L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 677 / 1670 40.5% 40.1% 347 / 811 42.8% 40.1%
In the clinch 96 / 144 66.7% 70.6% 120 / 165 72.7% 70.6%
On the ground 202 / 269 75.1% 70.2% 24 / 34 70.6% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 629 / 1613 39.0% 38.9% 290 / 738 39.3% 38.9%
To the body 216 / 322 67.1% 76.8% 86 / 115 74.8% 76.8%
To the legs 130 / 148 87.8% 87.8% 115 / 157 73.2% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tybura L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Tuivasa L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 711 / 1754 40.5% 40.7% 495 / 948 52.2% 40.7%
In the clinch 150 / 195 76.9% 70.6% 61 / 77 79.2% 70.6%
On the ground 71 / 109 65.1% 72.0% 115 / 151 76.2% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 639 / 1710 37.4% 38.8% 470 / 925 50.8% 38.8%
To the body 181 / 220 82.3% 75.1% 120 / 155 77.4% 75.1%
To the legs 112 / 128 87.5% 84.4% 81 / 96 84.4% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2332.4% acc · 1.23/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
2970.7% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
2758.7% def · norm 64.3%
75:3027.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
18:0712.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
44:102:22 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
35:433:40 per 15 · norm 2:28
20.11/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tybura has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.