BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mara Romero Borella vs.
Katlyn Cerminara

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-5-0 Mara Romero Borella · UFC
11-6-0 Katlyn Cerminara · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-5-0
UFC record
11-6-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
40
AgeΔ 3 yrs
37
5'6"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
69"
ReachΔ 1"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
70.5
Layoff (months)Δ 41.6 mo
28.9
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mara Romero Borella hunts takedowns — 1.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Katlyn Cerminara rarely shoots — 0.31 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Mara Romero Borella defends head shots well — opponents land just 20%, vs a 35% Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mara Romero Borella

Full career not yet synced for Mara Romero Borella — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Katlyn Cerminara

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1672.54/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
11044.58/min · norm 3.91
1632.48/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
10804.48/min · norm 3.81
38.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
34.9%norm 44.9%
71.2%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
62.3%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
10.06/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mara Romero Borella

Distance 91.4% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 4.9%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Distance 93.9% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mara Romero Borella

Head 80.7% (norm 78.1%) · Body 4.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 14.5% (norm 7.7%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Head 79.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Borella L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Cerminara L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 137 / 402 34.1% 39.9% 960 / 2967 32.4% 39.9%
In the clinch 13 / 18 too few to rate 73.3% 86 / 123 69.9% 73.3%
On the ground 17 / 20 too few to rate 74.7% 58 / 69 84.1% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 100 / 355 28.2% 34.9% 677 / 2520 26.9% 34.9%
To the body 14 / 21 too few to rate 69.5% 269 / 437 61.6% 69.5%
To the legs 53 / 64 82.8% 82.6% 158 / 202 78.2% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Borella L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Cerminara L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 125 / 517 24.2% 38.8% 942 / 2687 35.1% 38.8%
In the clinch 22 / 30 73.3% 74.1% 98 / 129 76.0% 74.1%
On the ground 16 / 18 too few to rate 73.4% 40 / 47 85.1% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 94 / 465 20.2% 35.3% 563 / 2131 26.4% 35.3%
To the body 44 / 68 64.7% 69.0% 186 / 325 57.2% 69.0%
To the legs 25 / 32 78.1% 78.7% 331 / 407 81.3% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

844.4% acc · 1.83/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
515.6% acc · 0.31/15 · norm 1.02
466.7% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
2650.0% def · norm 58.95%
16:4025.3% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
19:007.9% of cage time · norm 19.15%
13:323:05 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
38:452:24 per 15 · norm 3:03
10.23/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
50.31/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerminara has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.