BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Magomed Mustafaev vs.
Rafael Fiziev

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-2-0 Magomed Mustafaev · UFC
8-5-0 Rafael Fiziev · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-2-0
UFC record
8-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
33.4
5'8"
HeightΔ 0"
5'8"
71"
ReachΔ 0"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
77.4
Layoff (months)Δ 76.1 mo
1.3
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Magomed Mustafaev carries real power — 0.83 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Magomed Mustafaev hunts takedowns — 3.31 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Rafael Fiziev absorbs 4.81 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Magomed Mustafaev

Full career not yet synced for Magomed Mustafaev — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Rafael Fiziev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.26 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

942.59/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
7064.71/min · norm 3.42
972.68/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
7224.81/min · norm 3.37
58.8%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
52.9%norm 43.5%
41.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
50.2%norm 56.3%
20.83/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.30/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Magomed Mustafaev

Distance 63.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 22.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 14.4% (norm 8.0%)

Rafael Fiziev

Distance 90.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Magomed Mustafaev

Head 68.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.2% (norm 7.9%)

Rafael Fiziev

Head 58.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 29.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mustafaev L/AAccLightweight med Fiziev L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 48 / 101 47.5% 37.9% 612 / 1212 50.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 24 / 36 66.7% 67.3% 74 / 95 77.9% 67.3%
On the ground 22 / 23 too few to rate 69.1% 20 / 27 74.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 54 / 109 49.5% 35.0% 305 / 780 39.1% 35.0%
To the body 23 / 33 69.7% 69.1% 276 / 389 71.0% 69.1%
To the legs 17 / 18 too few to rate 81.9% 125 / 165 75.8% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mustafaev L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Fiziev L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 44 / 90 48.9% 38.9% 614 / 1298 47.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 20 / 30 66.7% 68.6% 82 / 113 72.6% 68.6%
On the ground 33 / 45 73.3% 68.0% 26 / 39 66.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 53 / 109 48.6% 35.1% 464 / 1117 41.5% 35.1%
To the body 28 / 38 73.7% 68.1% 150 / 192 78.1% 68.1%
To the legs 16 / 18 too few to rate 81.5% 108 / 141 76.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

850.0% acc · 3.31/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1071.4% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.38
323.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
4790.4% def · norm 64.0%
9:3726.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
10:497.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
13:265:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
13:021:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.41/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Fiziev has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.