Magomed Mustafaev vs.
Kevin Lee
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Magomed Mustafaev
Full career not yet synced for Magomed Mustafaev — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500
Kevin Lee
Full career not yet synced for Kevin Lee — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 8-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Magomed Mustafaev
Distance 63.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 22.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 14.4% (norm 8.0%)
Kevin Lee
Distance 77.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.0% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Magomed Mustafaev
Head 68.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.2% (norm 7.9%)
Kevin Lee
Head 87.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.2% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Mustafaev L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Lee L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 48 / 101 | 47.5% | 37.9% | 500 / 1537 | 32.5% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 24 / 36 | 66.7% | 67.3% | 73 / 98 | 74.5% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 22 / 23 | too few to rate | 69.1% | 270 / 360 | 75.0% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 54 / 109 | 49.5% | 35.0% | 653 / 1746 | 37.4% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 23 / 33 | 69.7% | 69.1% | 166 / 225 | 73.8% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 17 / 18 | too few to rate | 81.9% | 24 / 24 | too few to rate | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Mustafaev L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Lee L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 44 / 90 | 48.9% | 38.9% | 650 / 1405 | 46.3% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 20 / 30 | 66.7% | 68.6% | 64 / 84 | 76.2% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 33 / 45 | 73.3% | 68.0% | 67 / 83 | 80.7% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 53 / 109 | 48.6% | 35.1% | 514 / 1235 | 41.6% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 28 / 38 | 73.7% | 68.1% | 146 / 202 | 72.3% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 16 / 18 | too few to rate | 81.5% | 121 / 135 | 89.6% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lee has more cage time on record.