BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mackenzie Dern vs.
Gillian Robertson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-5-0 Mackenzie Dern · UFC
14-6-0 Gillian Robertson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-5-0
UFC record
14-6-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
33.4
AgeΔ 2.2 yrs
31.2
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
63"
ReachΔ 0"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
9.4
Layoff (months)Δ 4.6 mo
4.8
WWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mackenzie Dern is a submission threat — 1.06 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Gillian Robertson is a submission threat — 0.87 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Gillian Robertson hunts takedowns — 2.76 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mackenzie Dern

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 115
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Gillian Robertson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 146
Tier 3 — regional circuit 32

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.36 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7863.47/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
5602.71/min · norm 3.91
8923.93/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
5902.86/min · norm 3.81
41.6%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
48.5%norm 44.9%
52.0%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
56.0%norm 55.95%
20.13/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mackenzie Dern

Distance 86.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 5.0%)

Gillian Robertson

Distance 68.0% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 2.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 29.8% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mackenzie Dern

Head 87.3% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 9.1%)

Gillian Robertson

Head 74.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.9% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 11.3% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dern L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Robertson L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 573 / 1627 35.2% 38.3% 281 / 785 35.8% 39.9%
In the clinch 79 / 105 75.2% 72.6% 20 / 26 76.9% 73.3%
On the ground 134 / 157 85.4% 75.0% 259 / 344 75.3% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 593 / 1649 36.0% 35.4% 377 / 864 43.6% 34.9%
To the body 110 / 149 73.8% 69.3% 90 / 160 56.2% 69.5%
To the legs 83 / 91 91.2% 77.9% 93 / 131 71.0% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dern L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Robertson L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 724 / 1649 43.9% 39.7% 407 / 1127 36.1% 38.8%
In the clinch 129 / 152 84.9% 71.5% 55 / 70 78.6% 74.1%
On the ground 39 / 56 69.6% 74.4% 128 / 145 88.3% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 477 / 1351 35.3% 36.0% 452 / 1161 38.9% 35.3%
To the body 226 / 299 75.6% 68.4% 90 / 119 75.6% 69.0%
To the legs 189 / 207 91.3% 79.1% 48 / 62 77.4% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1418.4% acc · 0.93/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
3840.9% acc · 2.76/15 · norm 1.02
1137.9% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
738.9% def · norm 58.95%
63:4128.1% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
102:3649.7% of cage time · norm 19.15%
42:302:48 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
30:052:11 per 15 · norm 3:03
161.06/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
120.87/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Robertson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.