BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Luke Cummo vs.
Josh Haynes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Luke Cummo · UFC
0-3-0 Josh Haynes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
0-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
46.3
AgeΔ 2.7 yrs
49
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
74"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
215.9
Layoff (months)Δ 16.1 mo
232
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Luke Cummo is a submission threat — 1.42 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Luke Cummo carries real power — 0.71 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Josh Haynes is wasteful with strikes at range — only 16% land, vs a 39% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Luke Cummo

Full career not yet synced for Luke Cummo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500

Josh Haynes

Full career not yet synced for Josh Haynes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1471.74/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
401.25/min · norm 3.17
1271.50/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1294.03/min · norm 3.06
43.2%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
22.5%norm 44.9%
59.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.7%norm 55.25%
40.71/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.47/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Luke Cummo

Distance 67.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 19.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.2% (norm 8.1%)

Josh Haynes

Distance 77.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 12.4% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Luke Cummo

Head 72.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 22.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Josh Haynes

Head 86.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cummo L/AAccWelterweight med Haynes L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 82 / 228 36.0% 38.6% 22 / 137 16.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 39 / 67 58.2% 67.8% 9 / 19 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 26 / 45 57.8% 67.2% 9 / 22 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 78 / 245 31.8% 37.2% 24 / 154 15.6% 37.2%
To the body 50 / 75 66.7% 70.7% 10 / 16 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 19 / 20 too few to rate 82.9% 6 / 8 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cummo L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Haynes L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 30 / 142 21.1% 39.0% 78 / 194 40.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 23 / 36 63.9% 68.9% 38 / 60 63.3% 68.9%
On the ground 74 / 136 54.4% 68.0% 13 / 19 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 91 / 264 34.5% 35.6% 88 / 226 38.9% 35.6%
To the body 22 / 31 71.0% 69.6% 34 / 39 87.2% 69.6%
To the legs 14 / 19 too few to rate 82.1% 7 / 8 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

555.6% acc · 0.89/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
218.2% acc · 0.94/15 · norm 1.27
2342.6% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
342.9% def · norm 63.9%
11:2713.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
4:0612.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
46:318:15 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
7:123:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
81.42/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cummo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.