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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa

UFC 1-0-0 vs. 2-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-0-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
28
AgeΔ 7 yrs
35
—
Height
5'7"
—
Reach
67"
—1-0 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox
0.1
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.1
W
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Lucia Szabova hunts takedowns — 5.63 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.94 Women's Flyweight norm.
Lucia Szabova owns the mat — in control 68% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Flyweight norm.
Tainara Lisboa hunts takedowns — 1.56 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.93 Women's Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Lucia Szabova

Competition tierWL
Tier 3 — regional circuit 100

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.37 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 10 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Tainara Lisboa

Full career not yet synced for Tainara Lisboa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

705.25/min · norm 3.93
Sig. strikes landed
1221.82/min · norm 3.56
141.05/min · norm 3.84
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2253.35/min · norm 3.47
72.9%norm 45.5%
Striking accuracy
45.2%norm 46.3%
46.2%norm 56.1%
Striking defense
40.9%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.10
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.06

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lucia Szabova

Distance 35.4% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 14.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 50.0% (norm 4.5%)

Tainara Lisboa

Distance 77.8% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 20.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 6.2%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lucia Szabova

Head 83.3% (norm 78.1%) · Body 16.7% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.6%)

Tainara Lisboa

Head 76.7% (norm 75.7%) · Body 20.0% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 3.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Szabova L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Lisboa L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 15 / 34 44.1% 40.3% 75 / 210 35.7% 38.3%
In the clinch 12 / 14 too few to rate 73.9% 45 / 54 83.3% 75.2%
On the ground 43 / 48 89.6% 74.4% 2 / 6 too few to rate 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 57 / 80 71.2% 36.0% 72 / 207 34.8% 37.0%
To the body 13 / 16 too few to rate 69.5% 43 / 54 79.6% 71.2%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 82.3% 7 / 9 too few to rate 80.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Szabova L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Lisboa L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 10 / 22 too few to rate 39.0% 120 / 239 50.2% 41.3%
In the clinch 4 / 4 too few to rate 73.8% 30 / 43 69.8% 74.7%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 73.4% 75 / 99 75.8% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 7 / 19 too few to rate 35.0% 172 / 310 55.5% 38.1%
To the body 5 / 5 too few to rate 69.0% 31 / 42 73.8% 73.2%
To the legs 2 / 2 too few to rate 78.7% 22 / 29 75.9% 80.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
562.5% acc · 5.63/15 · norm 0.94
Takedowns landed
725.0% acc · 1.56/15 · norm 0.93
888.9% def · norm 61.1%
Takedowns stopped
1147.8% def · norm 62.5%
9:0367.9% of cage time · norm 18.7%
Control time
13:3620.2% of cage time · norm 25.2%
2:132:29 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
35:037:49 per 15 · norm 3:20
11.13/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
20.45/15 · norm 0.38

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lisboa has more cage time on record.