BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Lucas Martins vs.
Jeremy Larsen

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 Lucas Martins · UFC
0-3-0 Jeremy Larsen · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0
UFC record
0-3-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37.7
AgeΔ 4.5 yrs
42.2
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
123.8
Layoff (months)Δ 29.7 mo
153.5
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jeremy Larsen carries real power — 0.83 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Lucas Martins carries real power — 0.73 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Lucas Martins rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Lucas Martins

Full career not yet synced for Lucas Martins — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Jeremy Larsen

Full career not yet synced for Jeremy Larsen — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1772.87/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
884.87/min · norm 3.42
2554.14/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
1045.75/min · norm 3.37
35.8%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
48.4%norm 43.5%
60.4%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
57.4%norm 56.3%
30.73/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.83/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lucas Martins

Distance 93.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.5% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 6.5%)

Jeremy Larsen

Distance 84.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 11.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.8% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lucas Martins

Head 85.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 7.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 7.8%)

Jeremy Larsen

Head 90.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.3% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Martins L/AAccFeatherweight med Larsen L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 159 / 460 34.6% 40.9% 73 / 154 47.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 12 / 27 44.4% 70.8% 10 / 21 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 6 / 7 too few to rate 69.2% 5 / 7 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 122 / 421 29.0% 37.2% 74 / 164 45.1% 35.0%
To the body 25 / 37 67.6% 68.2% 9 / 12 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 30 / 36 83.3% 80.7% 5 / 6 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Martins L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Larsen L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 173 / 493 35.1% 39.2% 78 / 203 38.4% 38.9%
In the clinch 40 / 82 48.8% 70.3% 13 / 26 50.0% 68.6%
On the ground 42 / 69 60.9% 69.4% 13 / 15 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 168 / 499 33.7% 35.9% 83 / 222 37.4% 35.1%
To the body 57 / 108 52.8% 67.9% 10 / 10 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 30 / 37 81.1% 81.5% 11 / 12 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
333.3% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.38
2376.7% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 64.0%
1:132.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
5:0828.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
18:024:23 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
0:480:39 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.49/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Martins has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.